on 06-10-2021 11:26 AM
I was going to title this topic COVID vaccination rates and opening up at 80% (by the numbers) . . . but went with the one suggested by countess on another thread.
Please note that I am not starting this thread for the discussion of COVID vaccination, making vaccination mandatory or the pros/cons of vaccination.
This thread is also not for posting about 'early stage treatments' for COVID. I may well report any such posts for being off-topic if they are made.
I won't be posting arguments for or against vaccination, just the numbers and percentages that will drive the easing of restrictions.
The intention of this thread is to provide an analysis of the figures that I haven't been able to find elsewhere. It is for me to post screengrabs of an Excel spreadsheet that shows the double dose percentages that will become crucial in opening up the country.
I will prepare a spoiler so that members can see how the spreadsheet numbers are calculated. The spoiler will also note the source I use for spreadsheet preparation.
If anyone notices any errors in my calculations or screengrabs then please let me know.
Solved! Go to Solution.
on 20-12-2021 08:36 PM
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 19 December 2021, reported 20 December:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
93.71% (16+) | 92.13% (16+) | 5,067,523 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,982,170 fully vaccinated (16+) |
87.92% (12-15) | 82.67% (12-15) | 271,337 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 255,130 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
1,302 (1 acquired overseas) | 71,491 tests | 13,175 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
0 deaths | 406 patients
| 81 patients (active). 43 are on ventilators. Additional 37 patients in ICU (cleared). |
Reff over last 7 days 1.05 | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 31,700 active primary close contacts |
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au
VIC 92.5% fully vaccinated (12+)
People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria
reported as of 20/12/2021
Age group | Male | Female | Total |
0-9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
10-19 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
20-29 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
30-39 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
40-49 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
50-59 | 36 | 20 | 56 |
60-69 | 70 | 40 | 110 |
70-79 | 190 | 116 | 306 |
80-89 | 293 | 257 | 550 |
90+ | 158 | 249 | 407 |
Total | 765 | 689 | 1,454 |
These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.
Vaccination rollout state by state (16+):
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in NSW |
2,501 (155 acquired overseas) | 144,368 tests | 16,225 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
0 deaths | 261 patients | 33 patients (active). 11 are on ventilators. |
Reff over last 7 days 1.19 Current Reff | Currently in isolation (close contacts) No. of active primary close contacts not provided |
20-12-2021 10:06 PM - edited 20-12-2021 10:07 PM
I dunno where you get your figures from. ACT assault rate is 98.4% of 12+ assaulted twice.
on 20-12-2021 11:20 PM
Yes, it seems like a non-intuitive way of reporting the vaccination doses, but I'm using the data in the Operation COVID Shield - COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout document released daily on www.health.gov.au. It is clearly based on the "roadmap", and the information compiled is deliberately left at >95% once it actually hits 95%.
The link for the latest jab information is found here: https://www.health.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/2021/12/covid-19-vaccine-rollout-update-20-d...
However, I could break it down in this way for ACT, based on anothoer page in that same document:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in ACT |
>99% (16+) | >99% (16+) | 346,759 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 341,610 fully vaccinated (16+) |
>99% (12-15) | 96.94% (12-15) | 19,757 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 19,090 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
And... from https://www.covid19data.com.au/vaccines, the report is 99.2% for doubly vaccinated ≥12+ ... There are some small discrepancies in the reported percentages, but overall, ACT's vaccination rate is stratospheric.
Meanwhile, in NSW and VIC both, it's agonisingly slow getting from where we are to that 95% mark.
on 21-12-2021 08:25 PM
98% or 99%+ looks like Canberra (ACT) is from a real world evaluation of COVID , the doubled vaxxed control group
on 22-12-2021 04:43 PM
You could certainly look at it that way. If it didn't have such porous borders, it would be even more likely to view it in that manner.
on 22-12-2021 05:29 PM
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 20 December 2021, reported 21 December:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
93.73% (16+) | 92.19% (16+) | 5,068,754 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,985,087 fully vaccinated (16+) |
88.00% (12-15) | 82.96% (12-15) | 271,583 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 256,016 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
1,245 (1 acquired overseas) | 66,888 tests | 13,355 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
6 deaths
| 392 patients
| 73 patients (active). 43 are on ventilators. Additional 43 patients in ICU (cleared). |
Reff over last 7 days 1.05 | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 29,200 active primary close contacts |
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au
VIC 92.5% fully vaccinated (12+)
People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria
reported as of 21/12/2021
Age group | Male | Female | Total |
0-9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
10-19 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
20-29 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
30-39 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
40-49 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
50-59 | 36 | 21 | 57 |
60-69 | 70 | 40 | 110 |
70-79 | 190 | 117 | 307 |
80-89 | 295 | 258 | 553 |
90+ | 159 | 249 | 408 |
Total | 768 | 692 | 1,460 |
These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.
Vaccination rollout state by state (16+):
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in NSW |
3,057 (155 acquired overseas) | 136,972 tests | 18,487 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
2 deaths | 284 patients | 39 patients (active). 11 are on ventilators. |
Reff over last 7 days 1.19 Current Reff | Currently in isolation (close contacts) No. of active primary close contacts not provided |
on 22-12-2021 06:04 PM
And today's data...
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 21 December 2021, reported 22 December:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
93.76% (16+) | 92.24% (16+) | 5,070,073 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,988,019 fully vaccinated (16+) |
88.06% (12-15) | 83.17% (12-15) | 271,761 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 256,658 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
1,503 (13 acquired overseas) | 92,262 tests | 13,888 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
6 deaths
| 394 patients
| 70 patients (active). 44 are on ventilators. Additional 41 patients in ICU (cleared). |
Reff over last 7 days 1.05 | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 15,300 active primary close contacts |
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au
VIC 92.5% fully vaccinated (12+)
People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria
reported as of 22/12/2021
Age group | Male | Female | Total |
0-9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
10-19 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
20-29 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
30-39 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
40-49 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
50-59 | 36 | 21 | 57 |
60-69 | 72 | 40 | 112 |
70-79 | 191 | 117 | 308 |
80-89 | 296 | 258 | 554 |
90+ | 159 | 251 | 410 |
Total | 772 | 694 | 1,466 |
These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.
Vaccination rollout state by state (16+):
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in NSW |
3,763 (155 acquired overseas) | 151,443 tests | 21,991 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
2 deaths
| 302 patients | 40 patients (active). 12 are on ventilators. |
Reff over last 7 days 1.19 Current Reff | Currently in isolation (close contacts) No. of active primary close contacts not provided |
on 23-12-2021 10:40 PM
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 22 December 2021, reported 23 December:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
93.78% (16+) | 92.29% (16+) | 5,071,282 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,990,739 fully vaccinated (16+) |
88.12% (12-15) | 83.37% (12-15) | 271,961 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 257,299 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
2,005 (25 acquired overseas) | 85,112 tests | 14,801 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
10 deaths
plus 1 more person in their 60s, 70s or 90s. | 398 patients
| 72 patients (active). 39 are on ventilators. Additional 40 patients in ICU (cleared). |
Reff over last 7 days 1.05 | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 14,200 active primary close contacts |
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au
VIC 92.7% fully vaccinated (12+)
People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria
reported as of 23/12/2021
Age group | Male | Female | Total |
0-9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
10-19 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
20-29 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
30-39 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
40-49 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
50-59 | 37 | 20 | 57 |
60-69 | 74 | 40 | 114 |
70-79 | 193 | 117 | 310 |
80-89 | 295 | 259 | 554 |
90+ | 160 | 255 | 415 |
Total | 777 | 698 | 1,476 (although the figures here add up to 1,475) |
These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.
Vaccination rollout state by state (16+):
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in NSW |
5,715 | 160,471 tests | 27,093 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
1 death | 347 patients | 45 patients (active). 13 are on ventilators. |
Reff over last 7 days 1.19 Current Reff | Currently in isolation (close contacts) No. of active primary close contacts not provided |
25-12-2021 10:54 PM - edited 25-12-2021 10:55 PM
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 23 December 2021, reported 24 December:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
93.78% (16+) | 92.32% (16+) | 5,071,357 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,992,055 fully vaccinated (16+) |
88.17% (12-15) | 83.53% (12-15) | 272,087 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 257,791 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
2,095 (5 acquired overseas) | 81,565 tests | 15,471 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
8 deaths
| 397 patients
| 75 patients (active). 40 are on ventilators. Additional 40 patients in ICU (cleared). |
Reff over last 7 days 1.05 | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 14,700 active primary close contacts |
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au
VIC 92.7% fully vaccinated (12+)
People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria
reported as of 24/12/2021
Age group | Male | Female | Total |
0-9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
10-19 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
20-29 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
30-39 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
40-49 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
50-59 | 37 | 21 | 58 |
60-69 | 74 | 40 | 114 |
70-79 | 197 | 117 | 313 |
80-89 | 297 | 259 | 555 (should be 556) |
90+ | 161 | 255 | 416 |
Total | 784 | 700 | 1,484 |
These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.
Vaccination rollout state by state (16+):
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in NSW |
5,612 | 164,144 tests | 32,174 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
1 death | 382 patients | 53 patients (active). 12 are on ventilators. |
Reff over last 7 days 1.19 Current Reff | Currently in isolation (close contacts) No. of active primary close contacts not provided |
on 27-12-2021 05:38 AM
NOTE: Some information hasn't been updated over the Christmas period. I will begin reporting that data once it's publicly released.
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 24 December 2021, reported 25-26 December:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
93.78% (16+) as at 24/12/2021 | 92.32% (16+) as at 24/12/2021 | 5,071,357 at least partially vaccinated (16+) as at 24/12/2021 |
88.17% (12-15)
as at 24/12/2021 | 83.53% (12-15) as at 24/12/2021 | 272,087 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 257,791 fully vaccinated (12-15) as at 24/12/2021 |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
2,108 (1 acquired overseas) | 83,456 tests | 17,599 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
6 deaths
| 361 patients
| 71 patients (active). 42 are on ventilators. Additional 41 patients in ICU (cleared). |
Reff over last 7 days 1.05 | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 21,553 active primary close contacts |
VIC 92.8% fully vaccinated (12+)
People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria
reported as of 25/12/2021
Age group | Male | Female | Total |
0-9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
10-19 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
20-29 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
30-39 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
40-49 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
50-59 | 38 | 21 | 59 |
60-69 | 75 | 41 | 116 |
70-79 | 197 | 117 | 314 |
80-89 | 298 | 259 | 557 |
90+ | 162 | 256 | 418 |
Total | 788 | 702 | 1,490 |
These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in NSW |
6,288 | 149,261 tests | 38,473 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
1 death | 388 patients | 52 patients (active). 12 are on ventilators. |
Reff over last 7 days 1.19 Current Reff | Currently in isolation (close contacts) No. of active primary close contacts not provided |