Vexed Vax Jabs Charted over Time in Database: Don't be k1oooless!

[k1ooo-slr-sales]

I was going to title this topic COVID vaccination rates and opening up at 80% (by the numbers) . . . but went with the one suggested by countess on another thread.

Please note that I am not starting this thread for the discussion of COVID vaccination, making vaccination mandatory or the pros/cons of vaccination.

This thread is also not for posting about 'early stage treatments' for COVID.  I may well report any such posts for being off-topic if they are made.

I won't be posting arguments for or against vaccination, just the numbers and percentages that will drive the easing of restrictions.

The intention of this thread is to provide an analysis of the figures that I haven't been able to find elsewhere.  It is for me to post screengrabs of an Excel spreadsheet that shows the double dose percentages that will become crucial in opening up the country.

I will prepare a spoiler so that members can see how the spreadsheet numbers are calculated.   The spoiler will also note the source I use for spreadsheet preparation.

If anyone notices any errors in my calculations or screengrabs then please let me know.

[countessalmirena]

springyzone, as I understand it, it's to do with how population is calculated. Different ways of estimating population (and especially for the purpose of health measures) can give significantly varying results. We also can't downplay the effect of the pandemic on movement of people - international students departing, interstate students heading back home, overseas/interstate residents returning home, and so on.

This (below) is from the health.gov.au website. If you click onto it, it should expand for a clearer view.

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 14th October 2021), reported 15th November:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
92.72% (16+)	87.47% (16+)	5,013,650 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,729,769 fully vaccinated (16+)
83.73% (12-15)	71.07% (12-15)	258,408 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 219,340 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests processed over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria
860	48,104 tests	17,518
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
5 deaths 2 women in their 70s 1 man in his 80s 1 man & 1 woman in their 90s	378 patients	78 patients (active). 48 are on ventilators. Additional 71 patients in ICU (cleared).
	Reff over last 7 days 1.06 as at 11/11/2021	Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 77,380 active primary close contacts

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

Victoria is now 87.3% fully vaccinated (12+)

People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria

as of 15/11/2021

Age group	Male	Female	Total
0 to 9	0	0	0
10-19	0	1	1
20-29	2	1	3
30-39	4	0	4
40-49	8	3	11
50-59	27	16	43
60-69	59	30	89
70-79	150	95	245
80-89	251	228	479
90+	132	224	356
Total	633	598	1,231

These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.

---

Vaccination rollout state by state (16+):

• NSW: 94.2% single dose, 91.1% double dose

• ACT: >95% single dose, >95% double dose

• VIC: 92.7% single dose, 87.5% double dose

• SA: 85.4% single dose, 74.1% double dose

• TAS: 91.5% single dose, 82.2% double dose
  

• WA: 82.6% single dose, 70.0% double dose

• NT: 84.0% single dose, 70.5% double dose

• QLD: 82.3% single dose, 70.5 double dose

---

Positivity rate reflects both levels of COVID-19 and possible undertesting. Any LGA with a higher positivity rate should be encouraging testing as much as possible to make sure all possible cases are detected.

The positivity rate has increased by over 50% in the Local Government Areas of Loddon, Indigo, Murrindindi, Mount Alexander, Moorabool and Bayside.

The positivity rate is 30% higher in the least vaccinated LGAs than in the most vaccinated LGAs.

Testing rates are down in 73 out of 79 LGAs.

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 15th October 2021), reported 16th November:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
92.78% (16+)	87.84% (16+)	5,017,128 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,750,217 fully vaccinated (16+)
83.87% (12-15)	71.92% (12-15)	258,828 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 221,942 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests processed over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria
797	53,529 tests	14,131
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
5 deaths 1 man in his 60s 1 man & 2 women in their 70s 1 man & 1 woman in their 80s 1 man & 1 woman in their 90s	394 patients	72 patients (active). 44 are on ventilators. Additional 61 patients in ICU (cleared).
	Reff over last 7 days 1.06 as at 11/11/2021	Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 80,100 active primary close contacts

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

Victoria is now 87.4% fully vaccinated (12+)

People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria

as of 15/11/2021

Age group	Male	Female	Total
0 to 9	0	0	0
10-19	0	1	1
20-29	2	1	3
30-39	4	0	4
40-49	8	3	11
50-59	27	16	43
60-69	60	30	90
70-79	151	97	248
80-89	252	229	481
90+	133	225	358
Total	637	602	1,239

These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.

---

Vaccination rollout state by state (16+):

• NSW: 94.2% single dose, 91.3% double dose

• ACT: >95% single dose, >95% double dose

• VIC: 92.8% single dose, 87.8% double dose

• SA: 85.6% single dose, 74.7% double dose

• TAS: 91.7% single dose, 82.7% double dose
  

• WA: 82.9% single dose, 70.5% double dose

• NT: 84.4% single dose, 71.0% double dose

• QLD: 82.8% single dose, 71.1 double dose

---

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 16th October 2021), reported 17th November:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
92.82% (16+)	88.17% (16+)	5,019,270 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,767,912 fully vaccinated (16+)
83.98% (12-15)	72.61% (12-15)	259,178 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 224,079 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests processed over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria
796	72,010 tests	14,260
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
9 deaths 1 man in his 50s 2 men in their 60s 1 man in his 70s 1 man & 3 women in their 80s 1 woman in her 90s	357 patients	58 patients (active). 44 are on ventilators. Additional 65 patients in ICU (cleared).
	Reff over last 7 days 1.06 as at 11/11/2021	Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 83,700 active primary close contacts

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

Victoria is now 87.8% fully vaccinated (12+)

People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria

as of 17/11/2021

Age group	Male	Female	Total
0 to 9	0	0	0
10-19	0	1	1
20-29	2	1	3
30-39	4	0	4
40-49	8	3	11
50-59	28	16	44
60-69	62	30	92
70-79	152	97	249
80-89	253	232	489
90+	133	226	359
Total	642	606	1,248

These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.

---

Vaccination rollout state by state (16+):

• NSW: 94.3% single dose, 91.4% double dose
• ACT: >95% single dose, >95% double dose
• VIC: 92.8% single dose, 88.2% double dose
• SA: 85.9% single dose, 75.2% double dose
• TAS: 91.9% single dose, 83.2% double dose
• WA: 83.2% single dose, 71.0% double dose
• NT: 84.7% single dose, 71.5% double dose
• QLD: 83.2% single dose, 71.6 double dose

---

[countessalmirena]

Click on the images to see them in full size:

[straybooksoz]

Interesting. 900k jabs for an eligible ACT population of around 300k. So everybody's tripled jabbed?

There seem to be some flaws in the figures.

[countessalmirena]

Good point, as this can definitely be confusing.

Vaccinations are not necessarily administered in the state or territory in which a person resides. The number of residents vaccinated (even taking into account double jabs, or even triple jabs) isn't the same number as the number of vaccines administered.

Looking just at residents of the ACT, 344,389 have received at least a first dose, and 333,584 have received two doses.

ACT

16+ dose 1	344,389
16+ dose 2	333,584
16+ population	344,037
16+ % with dose 1	>99%
16+ % with dose 2	96.96%
50+ dose 1	133,342
50+ dose 2	129.861
50+ population	127.802
50+ % with dose 1	>99%
50+ % with dose 2	>99%
70+ dose 1	43,417
70+ dose 2	42,128
70+ population	39,946
70+ % with dose 1	>99%
70+ % with dose 2	>99%
2-15 dose 1	19,593
2-15 dose 2	18,478
2-15 population	19,693
2-15 % with dose 1	>99%
2-15 % with dose 2	93.83%

National population will not equal sum of listed jurisdictions due to a small number of people counted in national population residing in some 'other' territories. Sum of state doses will not add to national total as some records are unable to be geocoded to a State or Territory.

... and in context... (click onto image to expand)

[katistrophik]

Great thread thanks OP

[countessalmirena · Accepted solution]

I echo the “great thread” comment to k1ooo.

(I hope he doesn’t mind my continuing to use it; it’s no longer just vexed vax jabs. If a new thread would be better, I’ll stand by.)

[k1ooo-slr-sales]

I find your posts on this thread very informative (as a Victorian)