Rudd now struggling to stop a Gillard-sized loss

[nero_bolt]

Labor thought a couple of weeks ago that Dobell would be retained, but the swing now is on:

Labor support in the seats of Robertson and Dobell has fallen seven percentage points since the 2010 election on a two-party-preferred basis, which would put Liberal MPs into both seats.

If the swing in the two marginal electorates were repeated in other NSW marginal Labor seats, it would be catastrophic for the Rudd government, handing the opposition up to seven other seats, not including New England and Lyne…

According to a Newspoll survey, conducted exclusively for The Australian in Dobell and Robertson last weekend, Labor’s primary vote was 35 per cent, eight percentage points down from the 2010 election, and the Coalition primary support was 50 per cent, up eight points since the last election. On a two-party-preferred basis, based on preference flows at the 2010 election, Labor’s support is down seven points to 46 per cent and the Coalition’s is up seven points to 54 per cent.

Graham Richardson:

Somebody has surgically removed any skerrick of belief, passion or vision [from Rudd]… If ever Rudd was a great campaigner, it appears that this talent has well and truly deserted him…

Labor’s campaign in the second week was just as rudderless as it was in the first. No one appears to understand that there is ground to be made up. There does not appear to be anyone capable of telling Rudd that the problem is him. It cannot be easy to manage a confident player who has lost his confidence…

At the start of this long march, my view was Labor would lose 10 seats. That view is now looking optimistic. If some fire and energy from the Rudd campaign does not manifest itself immediately it will be little consolation for Rudd to claim he “only lost 20 when Gillard would have lost 40”. On September 7 the prize for coming second is irrelevance.

The Liberals prepare to strike:

The Liberals will launch their real campaign this Sunday.

“It will make the Blitzkrieg look like a picnic,” says one senior Liberal of the advertising campaign that is about to be unleashed reminding voters of how dysfunctional the past three years has been - and the three years prior to that.

“You ain’t seen nothing yet,” they said.

The timing is strategic.

So far, Abbott has been restrained in his attacks on Rudd. Labor’s accusations of negativity factor have resonated. Abbott is mindful that when Rudd was popular, attacking him personally jarred with voters.

But that is all beginning to change.

Newspoll: 54-46 to Liberal in Robertson and Dobell

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2013/08/16/newspoll-54-to-46-to-liberal-in-robertson-and-dobe...

[nero_bolt]

Seems a FIESTY sexy woman is now way out in front in the polling in her seat 

Sex appeal seems to be sealing the deal for the talented Fiona Scott:

Coalition (Lindsay NSW) $1.22   for the woman thats FIESTY and has sex appeal

 Labor (Lindsay NSW)  $3.65

PUP (Lindsay NSW)26.00

Any Other (Lindsay NSW)31

It really does *beep* to be a labor voter 🙂

[silverfaun]

The train is now out of control. Ruddslide is now so damaged he's totally gone in the head. Anybody noticed, days ago, that when he stands behind a candidate he's totally vacant, nobody home.

His campaign is now recieving little or no coverage in many papers. Many Labor mp's are missing in action.

All the rusted on are missing also unless its an Abbott bashing thread.

[lakeland27]

a sample of 505 people. 

no surprise in dobell either, still getting agead of yourselves i see though. calling it just a bit soon (for 3 or 4 years now)

[lakeland27]

psycho LNP senator cash .. total loony and harpie http://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2013/jul/01/michaelia-cash-labor-sisterhood-penny-wong

[nero_bolt]

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@lakeland27 wrote:

psycho LNP senator cash .. total loony and harpie http://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2013/jul/01/michaelia-cash-labor-sisterhood-penny-wong

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WOW thats desperation from you LL, way out of left field and way off topic, nothing at all to do with what is being discussed..... But anyway keep trying..... Its proving very amusing watching you

[lakeland27]

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@nero_wulf wrote:

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@lakeland27 wrote:

psycho LNP senator cash .. total loony and harpie http://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2013/jul/01/michaelia-cash-labor-sisterhood-penny-wong

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WOW thats desperation from you LL, way out of left field and way off topic, nothing at all to do with what is being discussed..... But anyway keep trying..... Its proving very amusing watching you

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i don't know, who's to say whats on topic apart from the mods aye ? you do have an advantage you know, 70% of australian media has been ordered to lie flat out about rudd at every chance, like they did to gillard. you might be happy with an arranged marriage style PM but i'm not. i believe in a democratic process, something lost on the right who never really let go of feudalism..

[silverfaun]

That's a lie & you know it but the dishonest campaign Labor is resorting to just shows there's no bottom to their base politics.

The slow & steady death march of a thoroughly discredited government is there for all voters to see but I think they've seen enough.

[lakeland27]

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@silverfaun wrote:

That's a lie & you know it but the dishonest campaign Labor is resorting to just shows there's no bottom to their base politics.

The slow & steady death march of a thoroughly discredited government is there for all voters to see but I think they've seen enough.

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its no lie and i'm certain of what i said thanks. election by rupert suits the so-called democratic right does it ? i bet it does..but what about when he changes his doddery mind again ?  

[nero_bolt]

The policy that showed Labor is back to the old shambles

The old Rudd all over again - the same man who decided to promise a $37 billion NBN after his Communications Minister caught a lift on his jet:

KEY Labor ministers appear to have been caught unawares by Kevin Rudd’s northern Australia announcem...

Employment Minister Bill Shorten said he learned about the policy yesterday when it was announced in Darwin.

And Resources Ministers Gary Gray said he knew about the Ord River announcement but not the other elements of the three point plan.

More of the old Rudd. Here is a promise that is:

uncosted

unexplained - as in just how it would work

on the never never, with Rudd saying it’s just an ambition for 2018.