on 27-11-2013 09:38 PM
Almost 10 million migrants over the next 50 years will swell Australia's population to more than 40 million by 2060 and more than 50 million by 2100, under dramatically higher new projections by the Bureau of Statistics.
The projections, the first for five years, envisage tens of millions more people crowding into Australia's capital cities over the next 50 years, overwhelmingly due to migration.
By 2060, the bureau estimates, Melbourne will have 8.5 million people, twice as many as now. Even by 2050, it would have 1.2 million more people than the state government assumed in its core planning strategy, Plan Melbourne, released last month.
By then Sydney would have 8.4 million, an increase of 80 per cent from now.
Perth would more than double to 5.5 million people, and Brisbane to 4.8 million. Both cities would be bigger than Sydney is now.
Melbourne would overtake Sydney in 2053.
Those four cities, the migrant magnets of Australia, would add 14 million of the 18.4 million extra people envisaged by 2060.
The rest of Queensland would add 2 million, the ACT would double to almost 750,000, but in much of the rest of Australia - South Australia, Tasmania, and regional NSW and Victoria - population growth will either reverse or slow to minimal levels by 2050.
Migration would become the driving source of Australia's growth. The bureau's central projection assumes a long-run average net gain of 240,000 migrants a year, roughly current levels.
That already generates 60 per cent of Australia's population growth, but that would rise to two-thirds over the forecast period as the society ages.
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8.4 Mil for Sydney? And I thought the traffic was bad now!
on 27-11-2013 09:42 PM
It's the "big Australia" that no one wants to have except the business people who stand to profit by it and the govt which sees the potential for more taxes gained.
Stuff the people who already live here; we don't count and haven't enough political clout to make it otherwise.
on 27-11-2013 10:19 PM
And the ethnic makeup will be?
on 27-11-2013 10:27 PM
on 27-11-2013 10:30 PM
on 27-11-2013 10:32 PM
Nope not at all, I will be well dead by then
on 27-11-2013 10:35 PM
on 27-11-2013 11:14 PM
8.4 Mil for Sydney? And I thought the traffic was bad now!
Forget traffic! Don't forget all the politicians you'll need to represent these "new citizens".
I think you know what more politicians mean.
27-11-2013 11:30 PM - edited 27-11-2013 11:31 PM
What's going to happen if or when our population reaches 50 million or so?
Will there be jobs for them or will half or more of the population be on unemployment or other social security benefits?
Since we seem to be shipping a lot of our jobs overseas just now, I wonder if the govt (and subsequent govts) might just consider that a "big Australia" might bring more problems than solutions.
on 27-11-2013 11:31 PM
its been growing as long as i've been watching, but when the opportunities dry up the growth will slow again . maybe the weather will be too much by then and people will live like mole people. underground. coober pedy population 10000000 . the cooper basin de -sal plant humming away in the background..