Vexed Vax Jabs Charted over Time in Database: Don't be k1oooless!

[k1ooo-slr-sales]

I was going to title this topic COVID vaccination rates and opening up at 80% (by the numbers) . . . but went with the one suggested by countess on another thread.

Please note that I am not starting this thread for the discussion of COVID vaccination, making vaccination mandatory or the pros/cons of vaccination.

This thread is also not for posting about 'early stage treatments' for COVID.  I may well report any such posts for being off-topic if they are made.

I won't be posting arguments for or against vaccination, just the numbers and percentages that will drive the easing of restrictions.

The intention of this thread is to provide an analysis of the figures that I haven't been able to find elsewhere.  It is for me to post screengrabs of an Excel spreadsheet that shows the double dose percentages that will become crucial in opening up the country.

I will prepare a spoiler so that members can see how the spreadsheet numbers are calculated.   The spoiler will also note the source I use for spreadsheet preparation.

If anyone notices any errors in my calculations or screengrabs then please let me know.

[springyzone]

Interesting stat re the patients hospitalised., where it states that only 7% are vaccinated.

I would also be interested to know how many of those in ICU have been fully vaccinated.

The 7% vaccination rate is particularly stark when you consider that Vic now has a population where 86% have had at least one dose and over 60% have had both.

I think it is relevant to use the stats for over 16's because so few under 16's are ending up in hospital with covid.

[countessalmirena]

Some of the information can't be released, springyzone, as it is protected by patient confidentiality. I have to be careful to source the data I post, not only from that perspective, but also from the perspective of not wanting to assert something to which I can't provide publicly available data.

Anyway, here is today's information.

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 12th October 2021), reported 13th October:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
86.70% (16+)	61.49% (16+)	4,688,098 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 3,325,238 fully vaccinated (16+)
67.25% (12-15)	11.75 (12-15)	207,535 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 36,254 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently in Victoria
1,572 (one not acquired locally)	79,200	19,786
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
13 deaths A man in his 50s, a man in his 60s, a man in his 70s and 2 men in their 80s A woman in her 90s A man in his 80s A woman in her 80s A man in his 70s A woman in her 70s A man in his 70s A woman in her 60s and a man in his 60s	705 patients still ~7% of whom are vaccinated	146 patients. 92 are on ventilators.

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 12th October 2021), reported 13th October:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
86.70% (16+)	61.49% (16+)	4,688,098 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 3,325,238 fully vaccinated (16+)
67.25% (12-15)	11.75 (12-15)	207,535 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 36,254 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently in Victoria
1,572 (one not acquired locally)	79,200	19,786
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
13 deaths A man in his 50s, a man in his 60s, a man in his 70s and 2 men in their 80s A woman in her 90s A man in his 80s A woman in her 80s A man in his 70s A woman in her 70s A man in his 70s A woman in her 60s and a man in his 60s	705 patients still ~7% of whom are vaccinated	146 patients. 92 are on ventilators.

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 12th October 2021), reported 13th October:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
86.70% (16+)	61.49% (16+)	4,688,098 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 3,325,238 fully vaccinated (16+)
67.25% (12-15)	11.75 (12-15)	207,535 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 36,254 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently in Victoria
1,572 (one not acquired locally)	79,200	19,786
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
13 deaths A man in his 50s, a man in his 60s, a man in his 70s and 2 men in their 80s A woman in her 90s A man in his 80s A woman in her 80s A man in his 70s A woman in her 70s A man in his 70s A woman in her 60s and a man in his 60s	705 patients still ~7% of whom are vaccinated	146 patients. 92 are on ventilators.

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 12th October 2021), reported 13th October:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
86.70% (16+)	61.49% (16+)	4,688,098 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 3,325,238 fully vaccinated (16+)
67.25% (12-15)	11.75 (12-15)	207,535 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 36,254 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently in Victoria
1,572 (one not acquired locally)	79,200	19,786
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
13 deaths A man in his 50s, a man in his 60s, a man in his 70s and 2 men in their 80s A woman in her 90s A man in his 80s A woman in her 80s A man in his 70s A woman in her 70s A man in his 70s A woman in her 60s and a man in his 60s	705 patients still ~7% of whom are vaccinated	146 patients. 92 are on ventilators.

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

[k1ooo-slr-sales]

- NSW 91.1% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 11.5 percentage points behind

- NSW 76.6% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 17.9 percentage points behind

[kopenhagen5]

You need to add one more to Victoria, I just became vaccinated with Pfizer.  

[springyzone]

I'm impressed by ACT stats. 97.5% of people there have had their first dose. (75.9% second dose).

[domino-710]

---

@kopenhagen5 wrote:

You need to add one more to Victoria, I just became vaccinated with Pfizer.  

---

Fully - or halfy - for Vic?

I get my fully - for NSW - domani.

That's a plus 2.

[k1ooo-slr-sales]

- NSW 91.4% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 11.3 percentage points behind

- NSW 77.8% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 18.2 percentage points behind

---

The increasing divide between NSW and Aust without NSW may be due to fast turnaround in administering second dose.  At the height of the NSW outbreak they had 6 weeks between Pfizer jabs to make more vaccine available for first dose.  They recently dropped that back to the recommended 3 weeks, hence the widening gap in the double dose percentage.

It may be that when NSW hits 80% double dose (about 150,000 more 2nd doses) the gap will be near 20%

[countessalmirena]

Victoria's also gone back to recommending the 3-week interval for Pfizer, but I understand from several sources that appointments are perceived as being too hard to change. It's actually not difficult... but perception becomes reality.

Yes, NSW is charging ahead.

[k1ooo-slr-sales]

the 3 week gap between Pfizer doses does have the effect of rapid increase in 2nd dose percentage.

That may well see a 20 percentage point divide narrow very quickly come November once NSW figures slow down due to high 2nd dose percentage.

[countessalmirena]

Depressing numbers today... the rise in cases is no cause for joy. At 2297 new cases, it's a jump by 725 on the increase in cases yesterday.

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 13th October 2021), reported 14th October:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
87.15% (16+)	62.65% (16+)	4,712,674 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 3,387,707 fully vaccinated (16+)
68.45% (12-15)	13.66% (12-15)	211,248 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 42,153 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently in Victoria
2,297 (significant leap) Almost 50% of these new cases are under 30; 63% are under 40. Almost 70% unvaccinated.	82,762	20,505
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
11 deaths Two men in their 50s Three men in their 60s Three men and one woman in their 70s One man and one woman in their 80s	706 patients, 90% of whom are either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.	147 patients. 100 are on ventilators. 98% of those in ICU are either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 13th October 2021), reported 14th October:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
87.15% (16+)	62.65% (16+)	4,712,674 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 3,387,707 fully vaccinated (16+)
68.45% (12-15)	13.66% (12-15)	211,248 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 42,153 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently in Victoria
2,297 (significant leap) Almost 50% of these new cases are under 30; 63% are under 40. Almost 70% unvaccinated.	82,762	20,505
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
11 deaths Two men in their 50s Three men in their 60s Three men and one woman in their 70s One man and one woman in their 80s	706 patients, 90% of whom are either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.	147 patients. 100 are on ventilators. 98% of those in ICU are either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 13th October 2021), reported 14th October:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
87.15% (16+)	62.65% (16+)	4,712,674 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 3,387,707 fully vaccinated (16+)
68.45% (12-15)	13.66% (12-15)	211,248 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 42,153 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently in Victoria
2,297 (significant leap) Almost 50% of these new cases are under 30; 63% are under 40. Almost 70% unvaccinated.	82,762	20,505
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
11 deaths Two men in their 50s Three men in their 60s Three men and one woman in their 70s One man and one woman in their 80s	706 patients, 90% of whom are either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.	147 patients. 100 are on ventilators. 98% of those in ICU are either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 13th October 2021), reported 14th October:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
87.15% (16+)	62.65% (16+)	4,712,674 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 3,387,707 fully vaccinated (16+)
68.45% (12-15)	13.66% (12-15)	211,248 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 42,153 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently in Victoria
2,297 (significant leap) Almost 50% of these new cases are under 30; 63% are under 40. Almost 70% unvaccinated.	82,762	20,505
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
11 deaths Two men in their 50s Three men in their 60s Three men and one woman in their 70s One man and one woman in their 80s	706 patients, 90% of whom are either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.	147 patients. 100 are on ventilators. 98% of those in ICU are either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au