08-10-2014 04:42 PM - edited 08-10-2014 04:47 PM
Voter support for Tony Abbott and the coalition is on the rise in NSW, South Australia and Western Australia, according to the latest Newspoll.
However, Bill Shorten and Labor are making strong gains in Queensland and dominate in Victoria.
The September quarter demographic analysis published in The Australian on Tuesday shows men and voters aged over 50 have become the prime minister's main supporters, while the opposition leader's strongest backers are women and under 35s.
Mr Abbott is preferred prime minister by 38 per cent of voters, up one point, while Mr Shorten is preferred by 39 per cent, down two points.
Going to be interesting come election time, isn't it?
on 08-10-2014 10:35 PM
@alexander*beetle wrote:Newspoll! They only ring land lines and only during the day and only in certain areas. Hardly a cross section of the population. The old saying of 'lies, damn lies and statistics' is very apt. It tells it's own story when all other polls differ that something is very wrong with this polling.
Nah they don't ring anybody. When you click on to a news site, the topic of the day comes up and you can click to vote yes or no, in line with your opinion on the given topic.
The result is a good cross-section of the population's opinion.
on 08-10-2014 11:11 PM
So what you suggest freddie? the aust government were over there beheading and shooting and burying in mass graves just to take the heat of themselves over here?
on 08-10-2014 11:32 PM
I think it's going to be a difficult federal election for Mr abbott to win next time round considering that most of the people in Australia have been financially hit by the policies of this present fed govt.
labor has a long way to haul its self back though, considering how badly they managed when last in power. I wonder how Ausbet is calling it?
(or whatever that online betting agency is called)
08-10-2014 11:38 PM - edited 08-10-2014 11:39 PM
@bushies.girl wrote:The Victorian State election is next month, that will be interesting as well ..... Napthine is NOT a popular boy atm
You can tell there's an election coming up, labor are starting to throw money around and friends of mine who have been desperately seeking help from their local liberal member for over 12 months suddenly have his full attention and support. Nothing like an election to make the politicians snap into action.
08-10-2014 11:45 PM - edited 08-10-2014 11:46 PM
. . . labor are starting to throw money around . . .
Yaaay. more plasma tv screen babiesfor the plebs and other bonuses for already wealthy working women? Politics has always been about bread and circuses aimed at the majority who don't have a very deep understanding of it.
May the best spin-doctoring-briber win. As has always been the case. The power of advertising defeats the power of the masses to understand what is happening to them.
08-10-2014 11:49 PM - edited 08-10-2014 11:49 PM
Oh, hang on a mo' . . . plasma tv babies . . . wealthy, working womens' parental leave generosity . . they're the policies of the Liberals, throwing money around, weren't they?
on 08-10-2014 11:52 PM
@iapetus_rocks wrote:Oh, hang on a mo' . . . plasma tv babies . . . wealthy, working womens' parental leave generosity . . they're the policies of the Liberals, throwing money around, weren't they?
Yep, those pesky libs sure know how to turn Aussie against Aussie.
btw, they were the feds too not the state of Victoria govt.
on 08-10-2014 11:59 PM
Yeah, I know that. it's why I specified the fed govt in my comment above.
Anyway, in South Australia, the voters are having conniptions that the SA state govt has raised its' emergency services levy by an astronomical amount because of federal govt cuts to its' budget. No friends of federal govt in SA by all accounts.
09-10-2014 12:03 AM - edited 09-10-2014 12:05 AM
Voters in Vic have issues with policies which will destroy valuable public spaces to build an unwanted east-west freeway.
Time will tell. I think the problem is that those in positions of political power (whoever they are) are increasingly seen to be dipping into public resources in order to finance private interests who then funnel back a small proportion of the ill-gotten gains into the party campaign funds.
Just like the USA, we in Oz, have the best govt which money can buy.
Gee, I wish I had money.
09-10-2014 12:16 AM - edited 09-10-2014 12:17 AM
8. Data accuracy
Newspoll recommends the data collection approach it considers to be most appropriate for your objectives and budget.
Telephone is consistently the most accurate method for conducting quantitative research, due to its ability to provide the most representative samples. This is why Newspoll’s highly visible political and public opinion polls continue to be conducted by phone. A key strength of online surveys is the ability to use visual aids, such as advertising, packs and logos. It can often provide a cost saving when compared to an equivalent phone survey. However these benefits come at the expense of reduced certainty about the representativeness of the sample and therefore the accuracy of any findings.
Our experience suggests that, even after weighting the samples to the same population profile, the results from online panel surveys can be quite different from an equivalent random probability phone survey and these differences are not always easy to predict. Hence online panel surveys should not be used where the success of the project depends on accurate measurement of attitudes and behaviour.