on 22-06-2016 09:50 PM
Warnings about global economic fallout if Britain votes to leave the European Union are reaching fever pitch a day out from the so-called Brexit referendum.
In an op-ed in the Guardian, billionaire currency trader George Soros said a "Leave" vote could severely damage British living standards and potentially trigger a major crash in the British pound.
Economists divided on Brexit
BlackRock managing director and global chief investment strategist Richard Turnill said if Britain does exit, he expected to see volatility and significant declines in the Sterling.
"We expect to see significant declines in domestic UK assets, particularly smaller, mid-cap equities, but actually as you've seen over the last few days, the volatility I think is going to extend to broader European assets and global assets. I think you'll see flows into safe havens in the event of an exit, back into treasuries, back into gold," Mr Turnill said.
But British economist Roger Bootle, the founder of Capital Economics disagreed, arguing the UK would not be necessarily worse off if it left the EU.
"It's not going to be a case of European politicians saying to their own industries and to us we can't trade, that would be illegal under WTO rules," Mr Bootle said.
"It's going to be a matter of the EU if worse comes to worse, treating us exactly as they treat all sorts of countries around the world, including the United States, India, China, Japan, etc."
My son, who lives in England and works in the finance sector in London, wants England to stay in the EU. I say they should leave. We've been sending each other terse emails.
07-07-2016 10:37 AM - edited 07-07-2016 10:38 AM
@springyzone wrote:
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So, on a positive note, even though the UK may end up leaving the EU (and that won't happen overnight), then I would say there is a very good chance they will still be able to renegotiate trade with some EU countries without too many hassles.
That is the problem, nobody knows what is going happen. So in meanwhile everybody is in limbo, and nobody in their right mind would consider negotiating anything with UK at present. In meanwhile pound continues to slide and there will be a long period of stagnation. I would not be surprised if in the end UK will not actually exit, and any renegotiated deals will not be better for them. Farage already admitted that most likely European people living in UK will not be asked to leave, there was never the amount of pounds he claimed paid to EU, and there will not be huge amount going to NHS.
Farage in his speech to EU shows what an uncouth idiot he is; hurling unsubstantiated insults at people is not wise or funny. He ran his exit campaign on bunch of lies and nonsense; at least he has enough sense to to leave now, before it becomes painfully obvious to most people that they have been had.
on 07-07-2016 01:53 PM
Of the 28 European Union member states, which one has the largest population living outside the country?
http://metrocosm.com/eu-diaspora-map/
on 07-07-2016 06:48 PM
any wonder the way the Brits are being crowded out of their own country.
on 08-07-2016 09:43 AM
Well, the UK is going to have another lady Prime Minister - it's a choice between two candidates:
www.dailymail.co.uk/news/3679875/new-uk-woman-prime-minister
on 08-07-2016 11:00 AM
@icyfroth wrote:any wonder the way the Brits are being crowded out of their own country.
The Brits always felt they have the right to go to live where ever they felt. Did you scroll down to the charts that show that people's perception of how many people from other countries live in UK is way out, and so is their perception about the % of Muslims. Interesting is that in countries like Poland and Hungary people think that the number of Muslims in their country is 70x (!!!!) that of reality. That is what well organised fascist propaganda creates.
on 12-07-2016 01:11 PM
"The people of Lancashire and Dorset believed in Farage/Boris lies and voted Leave.
Brexit now means that 2 large firms which were based in these areas are now closing costing thousands of jobs.
What do Farage/Boris/Gove have to say about that ?
Towns that voted overwhelmingly in favour of leaving the EU are among the first victims of post-Brexit manufacturing job losses.
Last week Forterra, one of Britain’s biggest brick makers, said it would mothball plants in Accrington and Claughton, both in Lancashire, ahead of a potential downturn in construction. The towns are in boroughs that voted 66% and 63%, respectively, for Brexit."
..
on 07-04-2019 02:17 PM
Yes, a post that's almost 3 years old ... and all they have managed to remove is the EU header from passports
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-04-07/uk-issues-passports-without-european-union-on-cover/10979258