on 14-08-2013 06:51 PM
Terry McCrann says the black hole Labor claims to see in the Coalition costings is dwarfed by real crater in its own finances:
The Government’s claiming ... there’s a $70 billion hole in the Opposition’s budget number.
That’s nothing, Treasury ... has a $97 billion hole in its own budget numbers.
The 2010 PEFO ... projected budget bottom lines for the years 2010-11 through 2013-14 that added up to a total deficit of $43 billion.
The outcomes - assuming of course, Treasury’s latest projection for the current year is reasonably close - is actually $140 billion of deficits.
And that’s when revenue has risen, not fallen.
Janet Albrechtsen says Penny Wong may be nice, but as a Finance Minister she has been a $106 billion disaster:
Starting with that first budget - 2011-12 - when Wong was Finance Minister, she and Labor predicted a budget deficit of $22.6 billion in 2011-12.
She was out by more than $20bn. The most recent budget in May revealed a deficit for 2011-12 of $43.3bn.
It gets worse. In that first budget, Wong predicted a surplus of $3.5bn for 2012-13. She was out by $22.9bn with the actual result being a deficit of $19.4bn.
And, yes, it gets even worse. In that first 2011-12 budget, Wong predicted a surplus of $3.7bn for 2013-14. By July this year, Wong was already out by $33.8bn this time. Her economic statement revealed a deficit of $30.1bn.
Back in 2011-12, Wong promised a surplus of $5.8bn for 2014-15. Now Wong tells us it will be a $24bn deficit, putting her out by another $29.8bn.
Cumulatively that makes Wong the $106 Billion Woman. That’s not an accounting error. That’s record incompetence.
David Uren doesn’t believe the PEFO forecast of Labor’s first surplus in a quarter of a century:
Let’s take a look at PEFO. It continues to run with ludicrously optimistic projections on revenue growth.
Receipts are expected to grow by 22 per cent between 2013-14 and 2016-17, moving the ratio of receipts to GDP from 23.6 per cent to 24.8 per cent over a period of time when growth is at or below trend.
Sounds implausible? It is.
Certainly, Treasury is a tad defensive about the inexplicable drop in the rate of unemployment from 6 1/4 per cent in 2014-15 to 5 per cent in 2015-16 as outlined in the projections.
It’s OK, evidently - the Treasury has done this sort of thing before. Don’t we understand that it is just a projection and the Treasury simply bungs in the trend figures, even if they don’t make any sense?
The document suggests revenue could easily be $30 billion a year less than the budget forecasts, while spending could be rising 50 per cent faster across the next decade than dictated by the government’s budget strategy.
It says there is a 70 per cent chance that nominal gross domestic product growth - which is the value of all goods and services produced - could be as little as 1.75 per cent a year for the next three years against a central forecast of 3.5 per cent.
The pre-election fiscal outlook, or PEFO, also shows there could be a $3.5bn hit to the budget if the Papua New Guinea asylum-seeker solution does not work and it highlights that carbon tax revenue could be vastly different from budget projections.
on 15-08-2013 09:44 AM
bump
on 15-08-2013 09:47 AM
the coalition are hiding figures, the ALP arent . the ones you post are rubbish btw.
why arent the coalition publishing figures ? deception. they haven't the ticker to say what they have in mind, so they have no credibility.
15-08-2013 03:52 PM - edited 15-08-2013 03:53 PM
@lakeland27 wrote:the coalition are hiding figures, the ALP arent .
Really? Then why is this page blank? http://electioncostings.gov.au/australian-labor-party-costings/
Just more Labor lies and propaganda.
on 15-08-2013 08:47 PM
funny, we get the same message on the coalition page
on 15-08-2013 08:54 PM
Abbott said he wont release the figures til the last week. probably more dodgy's like last time.
on 15-08-2013 08:58 PM
@lakeland27 wrote:Abbott said he wont release the figures til the last week. probably more dodgy's like last time.
Labor 2007 released their figures at 5pm on the LAST Friday of the election (Saturday was then the election)
Labor 2010 released their figures at 5pm on the LAST Friday of the election (Saturday was then the election)
So its OK for them (Labor) to do it is it? lol (am I doing the "lol" correctly?)
on 16-08-2013 08:25 AM
Labor has been shown to be lying about the so called 70 billion black hole. They are now so desperate they have resorted to the "whinging Wendy" type negative advertising.
We can all rest on our laurels after Sept 7th knowing the miasma of Labor has been routed & will be in the wilderness for years.
on 16-08-2013 08:44 AM
@nero_wulf wrote:
@lakeland27 wrote:Abbott said he wont release the figures til the last week. probably more dodgy's like last time.
Labor 2007 released their figures at 5pm on the LAST Friday of the election (Saturday was then the election)
Labor 2010 released their figures at 5pm on the LAST Friday of the election (Saturday was then the election)
So its OK for them (Labor) to do it is it? lol (am I doing the "lol" correctly?)
poorly lol. the last time the coalition released figures it didn't.. hockey had an accounting firm do a rough (very rough) outline that was a minimum of 12B out at the time of the 2010 election. the coalition are hiding huge cuts again with this latest act of deception.
on 16-08-2013 10:10 AM
Labor lies showing just how desperate they are. I believe Labor has no cred to even try to go neg on Liberals re the figures after they have lied for years about just how bad the budget is & now blown out 30 billion in 3 months.
Anybody who even gives this disgraceful lot of liars credibility is deluding themselves, they won't know what hit them on Sept 7th.
The tsunami is heading Labor's way. The libs are going to annihilate them, starting as soon as they launch their campaign.
They have millions to spend because Australians have donated millions to get rid of the worst government in our history.