No WARMING for 19 years

[nero_bolt]

The Guardian in 2009 predicted five years of rapid warming:

The world faces record-breaking temperatures as the sun’s activity increases, leading the planet to heat up significantly faster than scientists had predicted for the next five years, according to a study.

The hottest year on record was 1998, and the relatively cool years since have led to some global warming sceptics claiming that temperatures have levelled off or started to decline. But new research firmly rejects that argument.

The research, to be published in Geophysical Research Letters, was carried out by Judith Lean, of the US Naval Research Laboratory, and David Rind, of Nasa’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies.

Fail. Five more years of no warming followed.

Professsor Ross McKitrick says in a new paper that the warming pause has now lasted an astonishing 19 years at the surface and 16-26 years in the lower troposphere: 

The IPCC has drawn attention to an apparent leveling-off of globally-averaged temperatures over the past 15 years or so.... Here, I propose a method for estimating the duration of the hiatus that is robust to unknown forms of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation (HAC) in the temperature series and to cherry-picking of endpoints…

Application of the method shows that there is now a trendless interval of 19 years duration at the end of the HadCRUT4 surface temperature series, and of 16 – 26 years in the lower troposphere. Use of a simple AR1 trend model suggests a shorter hiatus of 14 – 20 years but is likely unreliable…

While the HadCRUT4 record clearly shows numerous pauses and dips amid the overall upward trend, the ending hiatus is of particular note because climate models project continuing warming over the period. Since 1990, atmospheric carbon dioxide levels rose from 354 ppm to just under 400 ppm, a 13% increase…

In the surface data we compute a hiatus length of 19 years, and in the lower tropospheric data we compute a hiatus length of 16 years in the UAH series and 26 years in the RSS series. 

This is “the science”. Why do warmists keep ignoring it?

(Via the ever-excellent Watts Up With That.) 

http://blogs.news.com.au/dailytelegraph/andrewbolt/index.php/dailytelegraph/comments/no_warming_for_...

[fourandsixpants]

tis mighty chilly here near my place this a.m. .....does this count?

[lightningdance]

Im just about to download “Watermeloms” by James Delingpole.

[lightningdance]

Its called “the climate” it does what “the climate” does.

Wheres FlaNnery now, the  charleton.

[*mrgrizz*]

in Game of Thrones they haven't had a winter for 9 years

[siggie-reported-by-alarmists]

And to think of all that co2......lol.

[lightningdance]

Anything from the guardian, that old leftist rag should be exposed for their total abrogation of any truth in reportage.

[tezza2844]

Prof. McKitrick is a signatory to the Cornwall Alliance's Evangelical Declaration on Global Warming, which states that "Earth and its ecosystems – created by God's intelligent design and infinite power and sustained by His faithful providence – are robust, resilient, self-regulating, and self-correcting".

The Cornwall Alliance was founded by the James Partnership and "according to public records" examined by the liberal group Think Progress, as of June 2010 the two organizations shared the same office in Burke, Virginia along with the public relations firm CDR Communications of James Partnership co-founder Chris Rogers. David Rothbard, the founder and president of the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT) has been hailed as the “driving force” behind the Cornwall Declaration public relations effort.[11] Dr. E. Calvin Beisner, "National Spokesman" for Cornwall Alliance has spoken against the modern environmental movement which he believes represents: "the greatest threat to Western civilization" because it combines "the utopian vision of Marxism, the scientific facade of secular humanism, and the religious fanaticism of jihad"

[this-one-time-at-bandcamp]

And yet, rising seas have necessitated the evacuation of a number of Pacific Islands, the ice sheets at the South Pole are decreasing, the glaciers are receding............but still the deniers will continue to deny until the waters close over their mouths.

[this-one-time-at-bandcamp]

"Earth and its ecosystems– created by God's intelligent design and infinite power and sustained by His faithful providence – are robust, resilient, self-regulating, and self-correcting".

Let me know when God removes that huge gob of plastic floating in the Pacific Ocean........and flushes the radioactivity down the drain.