Risk taking

martinw-48
Community Member
I'm not a gambler.
I don't buy Lotto tickets.
Cham recently said that those who own their home could take out a line of credit to capatilise on the current market.
As someone who has failed at everything they've attempted except for achieving home ownership I feel it would be stupid to risk my one success to achieve something that doesn't drive me anyway, gaining money.
More money would be great but I have more money now I'm not paying for the roof over my head.
My girlfriend spends $100 a fortnight on Lotto.
I know she's had two big wins totalling fifteen thousand but in the ten years I've known her that's cost twenty six thousand.
In my mind I'm eleven thousand in front
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Risk taking

We collected that very document on Friday David. It was

 

with our conveyancer it's now with our Solicitor who has

 

our wills. Better to have it in the one place.

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Years ago I wanted to get the title but now I don't think about it and have left it with the bank. Possibly safer than with me who is likely to misplace it. Plus unless you spend thousands on a fireproof safe inside your house is probaly not the best place to keep it. 

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Titles are handled electronically now and paper versions are no longer issued or used. Existing paper titles are only symbolic and dont have any legal standing.

 

Some of the old ones are very ornate though and it can be interesting following the ownership through the years as well as looking at when the property title was first issued etc.

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@brerrabbit585 wrote:
Doesn't 45% (at least) of the money put into tattslotto get kept by the govt to put into the hospital/medicare system? It could be a higher figure now but I'm sure it was 45% years ago. I tried to tell someone this back in 1990 but she refused to believe that the odds were stacked against her and that on average people could only ever expect to get back half of what they put in.

Friend of mine has some years back, when there was really huge jackpot, "invested" about $50 000 in Tattslotto.  He came little bit ahead, few thousands, as he won many of the smaller prizes, but there was always the possibility losing few thousands.

 

Yes, you are right, the government get s their cut in tax, plus there are still, I believe, members of the Tattersale family who receive %, which adds up to hundreds of thousand annually for each of them. 

 

The chance of winning big is minuscule, but then again every week somebody gets nice sum.  Every no and then somebody becomes multimillionaire.  For poor people having few dollar ticket gives hope, which is good for wellbeing.  But borrowing money against the house to gamble in anyway, and that includes stock market, is ridiculous.

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@martinw-48 wrote:
Brer, I've been getting by on a low income since '93.
My house is worth very little.
Purchase price was twenty thousand.

Where are you?  I am in not particularly expensive area, but just before christmas a fibro house in "original" 1940s condition on small block sold for over $600 000.  Houses in good condition and in brick are over $1 000 000.  I am sure your house is worth lot more than what you paid, BUT that does not mean you should be borrowing against it to gamble.  There is a high probability you would lose. 

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@*kazumi* wrote:

@martinw-48 wrote:
Brer, I've been getting by on a low income since '93.
My house is worth very little.
Purchase price was twenty thousand.

Where are you?  I am in not particularly expensive area, but just before christmas a fibro house in "original" 1940s condition on small block sold for over $600 000.  Houses in good condition and in brick are over $1 000 000.  I am sure your house is worth lot more than what you paid, BUT that does not mean you should be borrowing against it to gamble.  There is a high probability you would lose. 


Houses where Martin lives are quite cheap to buy, I know, 'cause I also live there.   The house you describe would be lucky to sell for 100k here

 

 

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Risk taking


@*kazumi* wrote:

@martinw-48 wrote:
Brer, I've been getting by on a low income since '93.
My house is worth very little.
Purchase price was twenty thousand.

Where are you?  I am in not particularly expensive area, but just before christmas a fibro house in "original" 1940s condition on small block sold for over $600 000.  Houses in good condition and in brick are over $1 000 000.  I am sure your house is worth lot more than what you paid, BUT that does not mean you should be borrowing against it to gamble.  There is a high probability you would lose. 


I don't think anyone would be wise to borrow against their house to gamble. Playing the pokies or tickets in lotto are a bit of fun for some people, but the odds of winning are stacked against the player.

 

Making prudent investment decisions in shares and property, based on extensive research still have an element of risk, but if done intelligently the rewards regularly outweigh the risks. In the case of the investments I made which Martin noted at the start of the thread, the investments where very extensively researched, the downsides understood and measures where taken to mitigate the risks. 

 

In the case of the investment properties that where purchased first, more than half where positively geared ( the rent was more than the combined utilities costs and the costs of servicing the loans ). This was achieved by buying properties in terrible shape that where due for demolition and restoring them myself at minimal cost. ( I had a builders licence at the time ). On the couple of houses that where slightly negatively geared ( costs where greater than income ) they where in prime locations in a rapidly rising market and the risks where offset by the positively geared properties . ie. the combined property portfolio was positively geared and rent spread across a number of properties.

 

All of the properties where also located in an area of rapidly increasing population base, rapidly rising rents and rapidly rising housing prices, further mitigating any risks. The properties where all sold around twelve months before the property cycle peaked at a 10% discount to the absolute peak of the market, but after doubling in value over the 5-7 year period I held them. ie. Timed to get out and take profits before market instability hit. Again based on research and analysis..

 

In the case of share trading through the financial crisis I was conducting two types of trade. The first was " normal"  trading buying shares in several gold miners who where regularly cycling in a tight band.  Buying at the low point of the cycle and selling at the high point with stops in place should they break below the normal lower cycling level. ie. if they broke out below the normal trading band, the shares where automatically sold at a small loss, mitigating downside risk. The companies all had no or low debt and as gold is seen as a safe haven investment in times of turbulence,  had more upside potential than downside risk.

 

The other method I was using was a unique system I devised in response to an anomaly in the market. Too hard to explain here, but lets just say of 17 trades I only lost on one, ( several hundred dollars ) but made up to $7000 per trade on an investment of $15,000 on the others, most profits being in the $3000 - $4000 range per trade.

 

Investing the profits from share trading in an adjoining farm property, twenty minutes drive from the city fringe at 40% of its normal value, was never going to be a risk and gave me the opportunity to scale my hobby farm to a commercial size, returning the investment many times over.

 

There is a huge difference between a well researched, intelligent investment and gambling. Like everything in life, you get out what you put in. Little effort, low reward, extensive effort, much greater rewards.

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I think a few people borrow other peoples money to pay for the pokies, just without them knowing.

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An investment only becomes a gamble when the investor has'nt done their research. Listening to Kochy on the telly or reading " the bare foot investor " isnt research.

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Risk taking


@lyhargr_0 wrote:

@*kazumi* wrote:

@martinw-48 wrote:
Brer, I've been getting by on a low income since '93.
My house is worth very little.
Purchase price was twenty thousand.

Where are you?  I am in not particularly expensive area, but just before christmas a fibro house in "original" 1940s condition on small block sold for over $600 000.  Houses in good condition and in brick are over $1 000 000.  I am sure your house is worth lot more than what you paid, BUT that does not mean you should be borrowing against it to gamble.  There is a high probability you would lose. 


Houses where Martin lives are quite cheap to buy, I know, 'cause I also live there.   The house you describe would be lucky to sell for 100k here

 

 


I'm also in a small country town.  Houses get snapped up really fast here and are usually bought by retirees or people who work from home because it's so much cheaper here than in the city.  The neighbours paid $150,000 about 18 months ago for a house that I think is a 50s or 60s Housing Commision fibro home on half an acre.

 

In 2002 I paid $130K for a 4 bedroom house on 5 acres in the Otways but the people who sold it to me only paid 30K for it a couple of years previously.  Some places are slow to catch up with increasing prices but prices can really jump when they do catch up.

 

Life is also a lot cheaper here - only septic systems and water is cheap.  My dearest water bill in 11 years was $200 but I didn't realise how much I was using on the fruit trees when I first planted them.  When I realised I cut way back and all my summer bills are way below $100.  

 

As to how much does one need to be happy, a lot of rich people aren't happy and they often have more relationship problems because they're never satisfied.  The more people get, the more they want.  They want things because they'll think things will make them happy, but when they get them they find they're not the answer so they want something else.  "Things" are not the answer to being happy!  If people are always wanting more it's just an indication of how empty their lives are.

 

If you read Rich Dad, Poor Dad the author mentions how his dad was on a good wage but died in debt and with practically nothing, and he says how many people are the same, yet those with less often have no debt because they've been forced to learn to live within their means.  

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