on 06-10-2021 11:26 AM
I was going to title this topic COVID vaccination rates and opening up at 80% (by the numbers) . . . but went with the one suggested by countess on another thread.
Please note that I am not starting this thread for the discussion of COVID vaccination, making vaccination mandatory or the pros/cons of vaccination.
This thread is also not for posting about 'early stage treatments' for COVID. I may well report any such posts for being off-topic if they are made.
I won't be posting arguments for or against vaccination, just the numbers and percentages that will drive the easing of restrictions.
The intention of this thread is to provide an analysis of the figures that I haven't been able to find elsewhere. It is for me to post screengrabs of an Excel spreadsheet that shows the double dose percentages that will become crucial in opening up the country.
I will prepare a spoiler so that members can see how the spreadsheet numbers are calculated. The spoiler will also note the source I use for spreadsheet preparation.
If anyone notices any errors in my calculations or screengrabs then please let me know.
Solved! Go to Solution.
on 24-10-2021 09:22 PM
This time last year ?
on 24-10-2021 10:48 PM
Exactly one year ago, there were 98 active cases in Victoria. We were coming down in excruciatingly slow steps in our second (very long) lockdown, but I remember how excited we were to get below 100 cases.
There were 7 new cases on that day one year ago, from a total of more than 9,400 tests.
8 cases were in hospital, with no patient in ICU or requiring a ventilator. There were no deaths within the reporting period.
Up to that time, 19,354 people in Victoria had recovered from COVID-19, and 817 deaths in Victoria had resulted from COVID-19.
In comparison, there have been 223 deaths in Victoria during the current Delta outbreaks.
The highest number of new cases in Melbourne's second lockdown (aka Lockdown from Hell) was 723, on 30 July 2020.
This Delta outbreak has spread far more insidiously and quickly, with the maximum number of new cases a day having hit 2,232, and currently hovering just under the 2,000 mark.
on 25-10-2021 05:47 PM
- NSW 93.1% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 9.2 percentage points behind
- NSW 85% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 17 percentage points behind
**The gaps continue to narrow.
on 26-10-2021 07:10 PM
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 24th October 2021), reported 25th October:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
90.56% (16+) | 74.74% (16+) | 4,897,196 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,041,812 fully vaccinated (16+) |
77.80% (12-15) | 38.68% (12-15) | 240,108 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 119,381 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
1,461 | 56,905 tests | 24,831 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
7 deaths
| 802 patients
| 152 patients. 92 are on ventilators. |
Reff over last 7 days 0.81 (0.43 – 1.50) | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 73,000 active primary close contacts |
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au
on 26-10-2021 07:52 PM
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 25th October 2021), reported 26th October:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
90.84% (16+) | 75.88% (16+) | 4,912,196 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,103,060 fully vaccinated (16+) |
78.53% (12-15) | 41.41% (12-15) | 242,357 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 127,782 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
1,510 | 55,679 tests | 24,715 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
4 deaths
| 817 patients 87% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated. | 147 patients. 88 are on ventilators. |
Reff over last 7 days 0.81 (0.43 – 1.50) | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 76,000 active primary close contacts |
Over the last week, ⅔ of the new cases were completely unvaccinated (no first dose, no second dose).
⅔ of the new cases reported yesterday were under 40.
In Wyndham, 96% of the new cases under 40 were completely unvaccinated.
In Hume, 97% of the new cases under 40 were completely unvaccinated.
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au
on 26-10-2021 08:30 PM
- NSW 93.2% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 8.9 percentage points behind
- NSW 85.4% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 16.6 percentage points behind
**The gaps continue to narrow.
on 27-10-2021 04:03 PM
- NSW 93.3% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 8.7 percentage points behind
- NSW 86% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 16.4 percentage points behind
**The gaps continue to narrow.
on 27-10-2021 04:33 PM
It’s lovely to see those numbers climbing and the gap thinning like the rarefied air at the top of Mt Everest.
on 28-10-2021 02:40 PM
- NSW 93.4% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 8.4 percentage points behind
- NSW 86.5% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 16.2 percentage points behind
**The gaps continue to narrow.
on 29-10-2021 01:37 AM
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 26th October 2021), reported 27th October:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
91.07% (16+) | 76.90% (16+) | 4,924,839 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,158,297 fully vaccinated (16+) |
79.10% (12-15) | 43.55% (12-15) | 244,117 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 134,405 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
1,534 85% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated. | 83,210 tests | 24,164 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
13 deaths
| 748 patients
| 138 patients. 87 are on ventilators. |
Reff over last 7 days 0.81 (0.43 – 1.50) | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 74,000 active primary close contacts |
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au