on 06-10-2021 11:26 AM
I was going to title this topic COVID vaccination rates and opening up at 80% (by the numbers) . . . but went with the one suggested by countess on another thread.
Please note that I am not starting this thread for the discussion of COVID vaccination, making vaccination mandatory or the pros/cons of vaccination.
This thread is also not for posting about 'early stage treatments' for COVID. I may well report any such posts for being off-topic if they are made.
I won't be posting arguments for or against vaccination, just the numbers and percentages that will drive the easing of restrictions.
The intention of this thread is to provide an analysis of the figures that I haven't been able to find elsewhere. It is for me to post screengrabs of an Excel spreadsheet that shows the double dose percentages that will become crucial in opening up the country.
I will prepare a spoiler so that members can see how the spreadsheet numbers are calculated. The spoiler will also note the source I use for spreadsheet preparation.
If anyone notices any errors in my calculations or screengrabs then please let me know.
Solved! Go to Solution.
on 04-11-2021 06:37 PM
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 2nd October 2021), reported 3rd November:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
91.93% (16+) | 81.78% (16+) | 4,971,255 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,422,278 fully vaccinated (16+) |
81.58% (12-15) | 56.33% (12-15) | 251,772 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 173,841 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
941 | 63,278 tests | 18,361 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
8 deaths
| 657 patients | 117 patients. 69 are on ventilators. |
Reff over last 7 days 0.73 (0.38 - 1.34) | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 74,500 active primary close contacts |
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au
on 04-11-2021 06:48 PM
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 3rd October 2021), reported 4th November:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
92.03% (16+) | 82.55% (16+) | 4,976,856 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,464,013 fully vaccinated (16+) |
81.86% (12-15) | 58.27% (12-15) | 252,639 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 179,840 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
1,247 | 50,180 tests | 17,674 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
9 deaths People in their 60s, 80s, and 90s Over the last 2 days:
83% of those who have died in this current outbreak were either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated. | 660 patients 84% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated. | 114 patients. 78 are on ventilators. 95% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated. |
Reff over last 7 days 0.73 (0.38 - 1.34) | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 74,900 active primary close contacts |
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au
on 04-11-2021 06:51 PM
People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria
as of 4/11/2021
Age group | Male | Female | Total |
0 to 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10-19 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
20-29 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
30-39 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
40-49 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
50-59 | 25 | 13 | 38 |
60-69 | 53 | 25 | 78 |
70-79 | 134 | 85 | 219 |
80-89 | 233 | 222 | 455 |
90+ | 124 | 220 | 344 |
Total | 582 | 569 | 1,151 |
These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.
on 04-11-2021 10:31 PM
Unfortunately the number in the 70-79 age bracket just went up one tonight.
on 04-11-2021 10:40 PM
I'm so sorry, springyzone. You referred to this likelihood on another thread, but even when it's expected, it hits the seat of the emotions like a pneumatic drill.
on 05-11-2021 04:06 PM
- NSW 93.8% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 7 percentage points behind
- NSW 89.4% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 14.4 percentage points behind
**The rate of change of NSW percentages has slowed dramatically
**The gaps continue to narrow.
on 05-11-2021 07:49 PM
The NT government has apparently over-calculated vaccination doses in the Barkly area of the Northern Territory. It appears to have occurred as a result of different counting methodologies used by the Territory as opposed to the Federal Government.
The NT figures showed the vast, remote Barkly region surrounding Tennant Creek had reached a first-dose rate of 96 per cent.
However, the most recent federal government figures said just 43 per cent of people in the largely similar area it defines as the Barkly had received a first dose.
This is the table of the NT's vaccination rollout by region which was removed from the NT's coronavirus website after the ABC raised concerns about the data accuracy for Barclay.
The Northern Territory government reported a 96 per cent first-dose rate in the Barkly before this table was deleted.(Supplied: NT Government)
In the interests of ensuring that the data is preserved, I'll also enter it here as a table rather than as a screenshot.
16+ year olds | First dose | Second dose |
Darwin and Palmerston | 86% | 72% |
Top End Remote | 74% | 55% |
East Arnhem | 47% | 39% |
Big Rivers | 45% | 37% |
Barkly | 96% | 69% |
Central | 80% | 65% |
See the State by State thread for further information on this.
on 05-11-2021 08:07 PM
Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 4th October 2021), reported 5th November:
Vaccination At least first dose | Vaccination Second dose | TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria |
92.14% (16+) | 83.30% (16+) | 4,982,564 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,504,525 fully vaccinated (16+) |
82.15% (12-15) | 60.03% (12-15) | 253,516 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 185,262 fully vaccinated (12-15) |
NEW CASES over last 24 hours | No. of tests processed over last 24 hours | TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria |
1,343 | 66,155 tests | 18,952 |
Lives lost over last 24 hours | Cases currently hospitalised | Cases currently in ICU |
10 deaths
| 634 patients 83% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated. | 109 patients. 73 are on ventilators. 95% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated. |
Reff over last 7 days 0.90 (0.79 - 1.03) | Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 75,200 active primary close contacts |
Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au
on 05-11-2021 08:10 PM
People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria
as of 5/11/2021
Age group | Male | Female | Total |
0 to 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10-19 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
20-29 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
30-39 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
40-49 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
50-59 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
60-69 | 53 | 25 | 78 |
70-79 | 15 | 85 | 220 |
80-89 | 237 | 223 | 460 |
90+ | 125 | 220 | 345 |
Total | 590 | 571 | 1,161 |
These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.
on 06-11-2021 07:18 PM
- NSW 93.9% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 6.8 percentage points behind
- NSW 89.7% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 14 percentage points behind
************************
Australia has reached the 80% double vaccination rate for those 16+
The rate of change of NSW percentages has slowed dramatically
The gaps continue to narrow.