Vexed Vax Jabs Charted over Time in Database: Don't be k1oooless!

[k1ooo-slr-sales]

I was going to title this topic COVID vaccination rates and opening up at 80% (by the numbers) . . . but went with the one suggested by countess on another thread.

Please note that I am not starting this thread for the discussion of COVID vaccination, making vaccination mandatory or the pros/cons of vaccination.

This thread is also not for posting about 'early stage treatments' for COVID.  I may well report any such posts for being off-topic if they are made.

I won't be posting arguments for or against vaccination, just the numbers and percentages that will drive the easing of restrictions.

The intention of this thread is to provide an analysis of the figures that I haven't been able to find elsewhere.  It is for me to post screengrabs of an Excel spreadsheet that shows the double dose percentages that will become crucial in opening up the country.

I will prepare a spoiler so that members can see how the spreadsheet numbers are calculated.   The spoiler will also note the source I use for spreadsheet preparation.

If anyone notices any errors in my calculations or screengrabs then please let me know.

[k1ooo-slr-sales]

** please note:  I will not be posting updated vaccination figures after the upcoming weekend **

- NSW 94.1% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 5.9 percentage points behind

- NSW 90.8% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 12.4 percentage points behind

************************

All states & territories will have reached 70% double dose within days, and 80% within a month.

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 10th October 2021), reported 11th November:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
92.51% (16+)	86.12% (16+)	5,002,413 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,657,161 fully vaccinated (16+)
83.20% (12-15)	67.55% (12-15)	256,759 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 208,452 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests processed over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria
1,313	67,105 tests	15,675
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
4 deaths 1 woman in her 60s 1 man in his 70s 2 men in their 80s	457 patients 77% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.	79 patients. 48 are on ventilators. Additionally, ≥ 60 patients no longer COVID-19-positive but still being treated in ICU. 91% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.
	Reff over last 7 days 1.06 as at 11/11/2021	Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 79,000 active primary close contacts

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

I am concerned with the effective reproductive number now being greater than 1.

People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria

as of 11/11/2021

Age group	Male	Female	Total
0 to 9	0	0	0
10-19	0	1	1
20-29	2	1	3
30-39	4	0	4
40-49	8	2	10
50-59	27	16	43
60-69	56	29	85
70-79	146	91	237
80-89	248	226	474
90+	131	221	352
Total	622	587	1,209

These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 11th October 2021), reported 12th November:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
92.58% (16+)	86.60% (16+)	5,006,482 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,683,024 fully vaccinated (16+)
83.37% (12-15)	68.62% (12-15)	257,278 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 211,762 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests processed over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria
1,115	67,925 tests	16,098
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
9 deaths 2 men in their 60s 2 men & 1 woman in their 70s 2 men & 1 woman in their 80s 1 woman in her 90s	426 patients 76% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.	82 patients. 50 are on ventilators. Additionally, some patients no longer COVID-19-positive but still being treated in ICU. 93% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.
	Reff over last 7 days 1.06 as at 11/11/2021	Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 77,760 active primary close contacts

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria

as of 12/11/2021

Age group	Male	Female	Total
0 to 9	0	0	0
10-19	0	1	1
20-29	2	1	3
30-39	4	0	4
40-49	8	2	10
50-59	27	16	43
60-69	58	29	87
70-79	148	92	240
80-89	250	227	477
90+	131	222	353
Total	628	590	1,218

These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.

[springyzone]

I've been interested in the 'additional data' website link you posted a few days ago.

But it makes me wonder about how accurate some of the stats are.

For instance, I had a look at Olivet aged care facility a few days back. It had 15 current cases (11 staff, 4 residents) and 1 death.

Now admittedly the outbreak started a couple of weeks back so some numbers may be going down, but I looked through the aged care facilities list and I can't see Olivet listed there at all. I would not have expected it to go from 15 to zero in only a handful of days.

Then I decided to browse the 'cases linked to key outbreaks' and there it is in there, with 12 active cases. Can't understand why it isn't in the aged care facility list as well.

[k1ooo-slr-sales]

** please note:  I will not be posting updated vaccination figures after the upcoming weekend **

- NSW 94.2% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 5.7 percentage points behind

- NSW 91% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 12 percentage points behind

************************

All states & territories will have reached 70% double dose within days, and 80% within a month.

[countessalmirena]

Springyzone, there are occasional data issues, where the figures are subsequently reconciled. Sometimes it’s more an issue of data being provided publicly in one way, and not bring updated, although the correct data is recorded in the raw data. And sometimes it’s a state government decision to release information in a certain way without breaking it down for the public.

I find some of the decisions around release of information parameters to be inexplicable. However, if the information can’t be worked out from what is released to the public or the media, I must abide by that. It has led me to scouring all sorts of pages I might otherwise have disregarded.

Regarding the outbreak in that aged care facility, the state government has not listed all sites where outbreaks occur. That’s certain.

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 12th October 2021), reported 13th November:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
92.66% (16+)	87.08% (16+)	5,010,392 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,708,881 fully vaccinated (16+)
83.57% (12-15)	69.70% (12-15)	257,895 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 215,111 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests processed over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria
1,221	60,818 tests	16,671
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
4 deaths 1 man and 1 woman in their 60s 1 woman in her 70s 1 woman in her 90s	405 patients 74% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.	77 patients. 51 are on ventilators. Additionally, 63 patients no longer COVID-19-positive but still being treated in ICU. 93% either unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated.
	Reff over last 7 days 1.06 as at 11/11/2021	Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 78,580 active primary close contacts

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

Victoria is now 86% fully vaccinated (12+)

People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria

as of 13/11/2021

Age group	Male	Female	Total
0 to 9	0	0	0
10-19	0	1	1
20-29	2	1	3
30-39	4	0	4
40-49	8	2	10
50-59	27	16	43
60-69	59	30	89
70-79	148	93	241
80-89	250	227	477
90+	131	223	354
Total	629	593	1,222

These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.

[k1ooo-slr-sales]

** please note:  I will not be posting updated vaccination figures after today **

- NSW 94.2% first vaccination, Australia without NSW is some 5.5 percentage points behind

- NSW 91.1% double dose, Australia without NSW is some 11.9 percentage points behind

************************

- All states & territories except WA have reached 70% double dose.

- WA should reach 70% tomorrow.

[countessalmirena]

Vaccinations and case numbers in Victoria as of 13th October 2021), reported 14th November:

Vaccination At least first dose	Vaccination Second dose	TOTAL vaccination doses currently in Victoria
92.69% (16+)	87.34% (16+)	5,012,465 at least partially vaccinated (16+) 4,722,914 fully vaccinated (16+)
83.71% (12-15)	70.66% (12-15)	258,349 at least partially vaccinated (12-15) 218,067 fully vaccinated (12-15)
NEW CASES over last 24 hours	No. of tests processed over last 24 hours	TOTAL CASES currently active in Victoria
905	64,218 tests	17,302
Lives lost over last 24 hours	Cases currently hospitalised	Cases currently in ICU
4 deaths 1 woman in her 40s 2 men in their 70s 1 woman in her 80s	394 patients	75 patients (active). 46 are on ventilators. Additional 72 patients in ICU (cleared).
	Reff over last 7 days 1.06 as at 11/11/2021	Currently in isolation (close contacts) More than 75,650 active primary close contacts

Vaccination information sourced from health.gov.au

Victoria is now 87% fully vaccinated (12+)

People who have passed away with COVID-19 in Victoria

as of 14/11/2021

Age group	Male	Female	Total
0 to 9	0	0	0
10-19	0	1	1
20-29	2	1	3
30-39	4	0	4
40-49	8	3	11
50-59	27	16	43
60-69	59	30	89
70-79	150	93	243
80-89	250	228	478
90+	131	223	354
Total	631	595	1,226

These numbers represent the total number of people in Victoria who have died with COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020.

---

Vaccination rollout state by state (16+):

• NSW: 94.2% single dose, 91.1% double dose

• ACT: >95% single dose, >95% double dose

• Vic: 92.7% single dose, 87.3% double dose

• SA: 85.3% single dose, 73.9% double dose

• TAS: 91.4% single dose, 81.9% double dose
  

• WA: 82.5% single dose, 69.8% double dose

• NT: 83.9% single dose, 70.4% double dose

---

[springyzone]

I noticed something a bit strange (to me, anyway) on the covid live website today.

It concerned % of population vaccinated.

If you look at this, it is saying 108.6% of those over 70's in ACT have had a first dose and 105.1% have had their second.

Maybe this has been covered before but if so, I have forgotten. How can you have over 100% of the people vaccinated?