on 01-10-2013 03:00 PM
IT IS one thing to predict climate change will cause huge increases in temperature for future generations. But how much will you and I be affected?
The Guardian UK has put together a neat interactive using data from the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, which was released on Friday.
The interactive asks for your date of birth, then uses it to predict how much the world’s temperature will have risen by your retirement and your death.
News.com.au plugged in a bunch of different birth dates, and the results are below. All figures are in degrees celsius.
These numbers may not mean much by themselves, so here’s some context. Global temperatures have risen by about 0.75 degrees in the last 150 years. The worst case scenario below predicts an additional rise of more than five degrees over the next century.
1965
Increase by retirement: 1.1-1.6.
Increase in lifetime: 1.5-2.8
1975
Increase by retirement: 1.3-2.2
Increase in lifetime: 1.7-3.5
1985
Increase by retirement: 1.5-2.8
Increase in lifetime: 2-4.3
1995
Increase by retirement: 1.7-3.6
Increase in lifetime: 2.3-5
2005
Increase by retirement: 2-4.3
Increase in lifetime: 2.5-5.7
2013
Increase by retirement: 2.2-4.8
Increase in lifetime: 2.7-6.3
These temperature projections are based on the IPCC’s “RCP8.5” scenario, which predicts the effect of a high concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
The IPCC has nominated an increase of two degrees as the catastrophic “tipping point”, which would cause irreparable damage to the environment
Read more: How Much The World Will Warm
on 01-10-2013 06:04 PM
on 01-10-2013 06:12 PM
His brother is the sailor
on 01-10-2013 06:13 PM
on 01-10-2013 06:23 PM
for me scientific awareness has been an acknowledgement that anything happening outside or inside our planet can effect the climate..
meteors, the sun, volcanoes, including humans etc
how will it affect me? hmmmmm.. probably not much in my life time unless of course a storm comes along and blows my house down
on 01-10-2013 06:25 PM
on 01-10-2013 06:29 PM
Oh no the sailor knows the sparrow!
on 01-10-2013 06:34 PM
so its the opinion of two siblings ? like the koch brothers
LL have you been reading that berkeley newspaper again?
on 01-10-2013 06:36 PM
but doesn't the sailor have a parrot on his shoulder?
Ark ark ark
on 01-10-2013 06:36 PM
Some areas will be affected long before end of the century. The permafrost has been melting, the Inuit are in process moving whole communities, some low lying islands are already affected. Storms with king tides like the one that flooded NY or super storms like Katrina and Yasi are likely to encroach on our lives. Not to mention ever worsening bushfires.
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/09/25/2666791/slow-moving-disaster/
on 01-10-2013 06:38 PM
dosen't stop him from knowing the sparrow.