Latest word

[rogespeed]

anyone know the latest infection rate here ? 

[rogespeed]

---

@davewil1964 wrote:

---

@shoppingbag* wrote:

3,809 at the moment. It doubles every 3 to 4 days. At this rate, here are the shocking results. In one week's time there will be 15,856 infections. In four weeks there will be over a million, and in 6 weeks and one day, there will be 24,000,000 infections (the whole country) With 97,419,290 deaths. That would be on May 11.

---

According to Scott from marketing, the average rate of increase over the last few days is 13-15% (Today's was 9%). At 15% It would double every 5 days; at 9% every 8 days.

Don't forget the spike caused by all the cruise ship passengers. All of their confirmed cases count, even though they were acquired prior to them setting foot in the country.

How can over 97 million people die out of a population of 25 million?

---

99% of cases admitted are not considered critical , so can expect full recovery or at least stable living 

[springyzone]

One thing I have been interested in but have not seen mentioned a lot is what the expected total infection % is likely to be.

I did find an American report that suggested they might see 20% of the population actually get the virus, even with their current policies in place.

In USA they have about 300 million people, so that would be about 60 million coming down with the virus.

Although most will ultimately recover, the death rate is likely to be somewhere between 1-2%.

I know it doesn't sound much when viewed as a %, but that could work out to over a million deaths.

The actual projection was that between 20-60% of the population may ultimately catch the virus, but I presume they hope that by delaying the spread, there may be a vaccine against it down the track or it may mutate to something not quite as deadly.

In Australian figures, we have about 30 miliion people, so we could be looking at about 3-6 million getting it. And a death rate of 1-2% of those. So conservatively, maybe about 60,000 deaths?

With the social isolation measures in place, I am guessing they are hoping to reduce the total infection numbers to well under 5% of the population, if possible.

What I am finding wondrous is that China was able to contain it so quickly and they did not have an infection rate of anywhere like 5 % of their total population. They put draconian measures in place, things that only a communist regime could get away with, but their death total is exceptionally low, given their total population numbers.

[go-tazz]

---

@springyzone wrote:

What I am finding wondrous is that China was able to contain it so quickly and they did not have an infection rate of anywhere like 5 % of their total population. They put draconian measures in place, things that only a communist regime could get away with, but their death total is exceptionally low, given their total population numbers.

---

Which brings it into perspective is that I've they had infection for two months before anyone else had and then how

did that rate stay so low initially.

And why did they deliberately allow five million citizens to go overseas to all parts of the world  to infect others?

That's where most of the pandemic started.

The governments of the world need to put a maratorium in place that Chinese "investors" can't profiteer from

this pandemic.

The economy is weak across the world and it's likely that the Chinese will buy/invest heavily and this is their

perfect oppertunity to try and control the world even futher.

It doesn't matter how you look at it the only country that will make a big profit out of this is the Chinese.

[shoppingbag*]

Correction to my post 97,419 deaths. There was a decimal point missing before the last three digits, so I guess .292 would not be a whole person.

[rogespeed]

---

@shoppingbag* wrote:

Correction to my post 97,419 deaths. There was a decimal point missing before the last three digits, so I guess .292 would not be a whole person.

---

Those that made it to hospital.... 

[rogespeed]

---

@go-tazz wrote:

---

@springyzone wrote:

What I am finding wondrous is that China was able to contain it so quickly and they did not have an infection rate of anywhere like 5 % of their total population. They put draconian measures in place, things that only a communist regime could get away with, but their death total is exceptionally low, given their total population numbers.

---

Which brings it into perspective is that I've they had infection for two months before anyone else had and then how

did that rate stay so low initially.

And why did they deliberately allow five million citizens to go overseas to all parts of the world  to infect others?

That's where most of the pandemic started.

The governments of the world need to put a maratorium in place that Chinese "investors" can't profiteer from

this pandemic.

The economy is weak across the world and it's likely that the Chinese will buy/invest heavily and this is their

perfect oppertunity to try and control the world even futher.

It doesn't matter how you look at it the only country that will make a big profit out of this is the Chinese.

---

I interesting to monitor such activity - although I suspect they have been knocked about much more than they are willing to admit , i suppose the volume of  "situations vacant"  in their newspapers will be a good indicator  

[shoppingbag*]

---

@davewil1964 wrote:

---

@shoppingbag* wrote:

3,809 at the moment. It doubles every 3 to 4 days. At this rate, here are the shocking results. In one week's time there will be 15,856 infections. In four weeks there will be over a million, and in 6 weeks and one day, there will be 24,000,000 infections (the whole country) With 97,419,290 deaths. That would be on May 11.

---

According to Scott from marketing, the average rate of increase over the last few days is 13-15% (Today's was 9%). At 15% It would double every 5 days; at 9% every 8 days.

Don't forget the spike caused by all the cruise ship passengers. All of their confirmed cases count, even though they were acquired prior to them setting foot in the country.

How can over 97 million people die out of a population of 25 million?

---

I can only go what was posted yesterday and my information said it doubled every 3 to 4 days. 13-15% may sound a lot less but it is based on a percentage of a larger number than previously. We shall see how it unfolds.  Unfortunately the increase slowing may not be all good news, in that it may just encourage some to go back to their previous bad habits.  Today is the first day when shopping that I noticed most people adhering to the distancing rules. Last week many were blase, in particular the Woolworths employee who brushed past me and other shoppers in the checkout aisle, and then loudly defended her actions, when people protested. Woolworth's motto "A Safe Place to Work and Shop"

Sorry about the missing decimal point. Should have read 97,419 deaths. I am just one of those flawed human beings who sometimes makes mistakes.

[rogespeed]

---

@go-tazz wrote:

---

@springyzone wrote:

What I am finding wondrous is that China was able to contain it so quickly and they did not have an infection rate of anywhere like 5 % of their total population. They put draconian measures in place, things that only a communist regime could get away with, but their death total is exceptionally low, given their total population numbers.

---

Which brings it into perspective is that I've they had infection for two months before anyone else had and then how

did that rate stay so low initially.

And why did they deliberately allow five million citizens to go overseas to all parts of the world  to infect others?

That's where most of the pandemic started.

The governments of the world need to put a maratorium in place that Chinese "investors" can't profiteer from

this pandemic.

The economy is weak across the world and it's likely that the Chinese will buy/invest heavily and this is their

perfect oppertunity to try and control the world even futher.

It doesn't matter how you look at it the only country that will make a big profit out of this is the Chinese.

---

Maybe a bit late now but we should have rounded up and expelled all tourists earlier - the Baroossa Valley hotspot is being blamed on tourists 

All guest workers should be tested , including those of little Hong Kong on the WA coast 

[icyfroth]

---

@rogespeed wrote:

---

@go-tazz wrote:

---

@springyzone wrote:

What I am finding wondrous is that China was able to contain it so quickly and they did not have an infection rate of anywhere like 5 % of their total population. They put draconian measures in place, things that only a communist regime could get away with, but their death total is exceptionally low, given their total population numbers.

---

Which brings it into perspective is that I've they had infection for two months before anyone else had and then how

did that rate stay so low initially.

And why did they deliberately allow five million citizens to go overseas to all parts of the world  to infect others?

That's where most of the pandemic started.

The governments of the world need to put a maratorium in place that Chinese "investors" can't profiteer from

this pandemic.

The economy is weak across the world and it's likely that the Chinese will buy/invest heavily and this is their

perfect oppertunity to try and control the world even futher.

It doesn't matter how you look at it the only country that will make a big profit out of this is the Chinese.

---

Maybe a bit late now but we should have rounded up and expelled all tourists earlier - the Baroossa Valley hotspot is being blamed on tourists 

All guest workers should be tested , including those of little Hong Kong on the WA coast 

---

So. Are we still accepting migrants?

[rogespeed]

---

@icyfroth wrote:

---

@rogespeed wrote:

---

@go-tazz wrote:

---

@springyzone wrote:

What I am finding wondrous is that China was able to contain it so quickly and they did not have an infection rate of anywhere like 5 % of their total population. They put draconian measures in place, things that only a communist regime could get away with, but their death total is exceptionally low, given their total population numbers.

---

Which brings it into perspective is that I've they had infection for two months before anyone else had and then how

did that rate stay so low initially.

And why did they deliberately allow five million citizens to go overseas to all parts of the world  to infect others?

That's where most of the pandemic started.

The governments of the world need to put a maratorium in place that Chinese "investors" can't profiteer from

this pandemic.

The economy is weak across the world and it's likely that the Chinese will buy/invest heavily and this is their

perfect oppertunity to try and control the world even futher.

It doesn't matter how you look at it the only country that will make a big profit out of this is the Chinese.

---

Maybe a bit late now but we should have rounded up and expelled all tourists earlier - the Baroossa Valley hotspot is being blamed on tourists 

All guest workers should be tested , including those of little Hong Kong on the WA coast 

---

So. Are we still accepting migrants?

---

No , we are entering a golden age of employment once business adjusts with help from Govt and funding