THE ELECTION POLLS

[nero_bolt]

All in one place

The polls are not good for Labor

ReachTEL: 53-47 to Coalition   

http://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-national-poll-10august13  

Question 2: from reachtel

Which of the following do you think would make the better Prime Minister?

RUDD 46.8% Abbott 53.2

Galaxy 51-49

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2013/08/10/reachtel-53-47-to-coalition/

Nielsen: 52-48 to Coalition; Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition in Queensland

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2013/08/09/nielsen-52-48-to-coalition-4/

and the betting odds are:

TAB                                   $1.22 Libs to $4.25 Labor

Sportsbet                          $1.19 Libs to $4.80 Labor

Sportingbet                       $1.14 libs to $5.75 Labor

Not looking good for the labor diehards and for labor.

The Rudd experiment is a failure just like the man

[nero_bolt]

The odds yesterday, they look bad but todays odds look even worse for Labor

Coalition                      $1.08        $1.07       $1.05

Labor                            $8.0         $8.00        $10.00 

The odds Today and they just get worse and worse

Coalition                      $1.06        $1.06       $1.05

Labor                            $9.00        $9.50       $10.00  <<<<<<<  LOOKING real bad for Labor

[nero_bolt]

ReachTEL: 53-47 to Coalition

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2013/08/28/reachtel-53-47-to-coalition-2/

and HUGE Changes at the betting odds 

Labor are history and the public and punters know it

Odds yesterday 

Coalition                      $1.06              $1.06             $1.05

Labor                 $9.00        $9.50       $10.00 

ODDS TODAY

Coalition             $1.04               $1.04                 $1.04

Labor                  $11.00             $10.00               $11.00  <<<<<< MASSIVE CHANGES

[topsidesoul]

If  the papers did not ring us all up while we are eating dinner, using overseas call centres....to get the information to make polls...

They would not have anything to report on for tommorow. Polls are a way of creating news to fill up a medium people are no longer buying like they used to.

Murdoch wanted Howard out and we had bad news and bad polls for John. John lost.

Murdoch wants Rudd/Gillard out  and we had bad news and all that Gillard hub bub as well as bad news for Kevin and Joolya....they will loose to.

Create blood in the water for all the sharks.

Might as well trace your hand on the ballot paper this year because Tony will be Pm.

[nero_bolt]

Sportsbet pays out early on Coalition to win 2013 Election - 

That’s it! Sorry Sky News, apologies to the ABC, don’t bother news.com.au. We’re calling it first. Sportsbet has declared the federal election a one-horse race and we’re paying out all bets on the Coalition nine days before Australia goes to the polls.

We’re so confident of a landslide Coalition victory for Tony Abbott and his team, we’ve paid out more than $1.5 million in bets to our members – a first in Australian federal election history.

Following last night’s third and final debate between the two leaders, the Coalition is at Black Caviar-like odds ($1.03) to claim government - 

Kevin Rudd and Labor is $11 to win the election – their highest price since betting markets opened immediately following the 2010 federal election.

As it stands in Sportsbet’s electorate markets

:• The Coaltion are favourites in 90 electorates

• Labor are favourites in 56 electorates

• Katter’s Australian Party is favourite in 1 electorate (Kennedy – QLD)

• Independents are favourite in 1 electorate (Denison – TAS)

• 2 electorates are currently too close to call (Lyons – TAS, and Lingiari – NT)

The Coalition are favoured to win 34 more seats than Labor. -

Of the 150 electorate in the 2010 federal election, 147 Sportsbet favourites went on to win the seat. -

See more at: http://www.sportsbet.com.au/blog/home/sportsbet-pays-out-early-on-coalition-to-win-2013-election?Car...

[azureline**]

---

@silverfaun wrote:

I have heard somewhwhere that the DPP is hearing the cases  today, against Miss Gillard & the slush fund & disappearence of vital documents from the Slater & Gordon solicitors offices Miss Gillard worked at.

Anybody got an update?

---

you heard somewhere? where did you hear it? any updates?

[nero_bolt]

Its bye bye bye labor.... 

Newspoll: 9% swing in Sydney marginals

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2013/08/30/newspoll-9-swing-in-sydney-marginals/

Newspoll marginals polling: 7% swing in NSW, 4% in Victoria

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2013/08/30/newspoll-7-swing-across-five-nsw-marginals/

Galaxy: 53-47 to Coalition (plus marginals polling)

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2013/08/31/galaxy-53-47-to-coalition-plus-marginals-polling/

ODDS TODAY

Coalition             $1.05             $1.02                 $1.01

Labor                  $8.50             $12.50                 $16.00  <<<<<< WOW $16.00 

[nero_bolt]

Newspoll: Labor sinks in a Ruddbath

Rudd is falling like a stone:

TONY Abbott has overtaken Kevin Rudd as the nation’s preferred prime minister for the first time in their four-year rivalry as support for Labor fell to its lowest since Julia Gillard was removed…

Labor’s primary vote support has slumped to 33 per cent - the lowest ever under Mr Rudd as Prime Minister - after Treasury and Finance repudiated the government’s claims on the cost of Coalition promises.

On a two-party-preferred basis, Labor ... now trails the Coalition 46 per cent to 54 per cent.

Dennis Shanahan:

LABOR won power in 2007 on a Ruddslide, but looks like losing power in 2013 in a Ruddbath.

Henry Ergas:

ACCORDING to Kevin Rudd, we mustn’t put all our eggs in the one basket. Come Saturday, the Australian people will at last have a chance to tell him un oeuf is enough.

Paul Sheehan:

Never in the previous 113 years of Australian federation has a Prime Minister created such a gap between soaring rhetoric, sweeping promises and national interventions and meagre or failed results of so many grandiose plans.

ODDS TODAY

Coalition             $1.04             $1.01                 $1.01

Labor                  $10.00            $17.00               $16.00  <<<<<< WOW $16.00 and $17.00  

[catsnknots]

400,000 people have already voted in QLD alone.... today at pre poll we had probably 1000 people through before lunch... way up on the 600 people per day we have been having... we think there will be 2000 people through by 6pm. 

This is a HUGE indicator that people want change...  

As the people go in they are saying they want change... and they can't wait until Saturday to vote so they have come in early. 

[nero_bolt]

Just gets worse and worse.... Even Katter may lose his seat....     

Nielsen: 53-47 to Coalition in Queensland

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2013/09/03/nielsen-53-47-to-coalition-in-queensland/

Labor may keep only two seats in Queensland

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/election-2013/labor-may-keep-only-two-seats-in-quee...

Bob Katter suffers collapse in support, needs preferences to win Kennedy

http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/special-features/bob-katter-suffers-collapse-in-support-needs-pre...

[debra9275]

meh!

who cares about polls, I have a feeling the election is going to be a lot closer than they're calling it