Decline in sales not just eBay

So I have been reading the forums from Amazon and Etsy as well as the eBay forums that are in English, and sometimes translate the foreigh languages. And I see this slow down in sales everywhere. As well as department stores.

So I think our problems of slow sales is more than just this site. With the decline in house values, it is scaring a lot of people, and a lot of people are in negative equity and are struggling. I smell a recession comming.

 

Thank you, please put your imput below.

Glen

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Decline in sales not just eBay

just wait until uncle billy gets in government-electricity prices will go through the roof-where are they going to get all the power needed for those cars after closing powers stations-remember them laughing at snowy hydro 2.0.  Will probably see richy di natale with TWO rolex watches instead of one-forget kim beazley getting tomato sauce on his tie -hanson young will have artisan cheese on her top after her whale watching cruise whilst the plebs can't even afford shoes for their kids feet-ominous times ahead-save your cash cos you are gonna need it-no one will be able to afford ebay fees - i see things getting worse here

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Decline in sales not just eBay

I had an interesting discussion with a neighbour yesterday. She is a repossession agent and debt collector.  She is the lady who comes to your house and tows away your car if you don't make the payments, or rolls up into a business operators yard with a big semi trailer to reclaim that excavator that hasn't had any lease payments made on it. She has been in the game for a very long time and says she is busier now than ever before. Normally she has 4 weeks off over Christmas / New Year, but this year worked right through including several hours on Christmas day.

 

There are a couple of trends she is seeing. The first is Afterpay. I,m no expert on Afterpay, but I understand the way it works is that if your loan is not paid out in reasonable time, they simply cut you off as a user of the service, never to have access again. Punters are buying lots of consumable carp on Afterpay and paying their Afterpay loans out before making the house or car loan payments just so they can continue to use the service. The result is they are spending more than they earn and quickly falling behind in payments for cars and home loans etc.

 

The second trend is a simple rise in problem business loans as consumers and business are spending less, resulting in businesses struggling. My brother in law is a private contractor servicing food industries. He services food processing equipment for several large, well known brands including one celebrity chef who has their head on the telly regularly. He has been working 60 hours a week for the last couple of years, but has noticed a dramatic slump in demand for his services in the last two months. Payments for his services have also slowed.

 

I,m not sure if the forth coming election is part of the problem. People tend to spend more cautiously in the lead up to an election and the fact that there will most likely be a change of government would be playing on peoples mind. Labor are threatening to take away some of self funded retirees income which is playing into the confidence issue for everyone.

 

Share franking credits are morally the right thing to do for low income shareholders and the fact that Labor are threatening to take them away just comes across as blatently dishonest. Its a bit like taking away Superannuation from a company worker. Superannuation is part of a workers pay packet and shouldnt be taken away from any worker once it has been earned and paid to the workers super account.

 

The big thing that Labor could and should do is review payments for those on social security as they are woefully inadequate at the moment., Unfortunately they appear to be no more compassionate than the Liberals in this regard and haven't made a peep about increasing these payments. Should this necessary change be made, all of the money would flow straight back into the economy as retirees and the unemployed spend their money on basics rather than hoarding it ( investing ) as wealthier people do. This social security increase provides an immediate and long term stimulatory effect to the economy.

 

The ongoing drought in many parts of the country will also have a noticeable effect on GDP as sub soil moisture levels are very low, potentially affecting the new seasons crop. There has also been a significant number of breeding stock sent to slaughter, reducing herd size which will take several years to rebuild, having an effect on GDP for some time after it rains.

 

Whatever the reason, it appears there may be trouble ahead.

 

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Decline in sales not just eBay

Great post, chameleon.

 

When i first heard of after pay, I thought it sounded a little bit like the old lay buy-with one notable difference. With lay buy, a person made regular payments at a store till the item was fully paid for. Then, and only then, was it theirs to take home.

After pay is just another form of credit.

 

I know cash is coming to be viewed as old fashioned but it has one enormous advantage and that is, if you try to confine a lot of your everyday purchases to cash, then a quick look in your purse or wallet will tell you if you can afford it or not. Back when i was working, I used to sometimes go for a quick lunch at a nearby cafe with workmates. If I only had a few dollars in my purse, I'd just buy something small.

Where people just pay with cards-any sort of card- it can give people a sense of a bottomless bucket unless they are careful.

What a lot of people aren't doing nowadays is just saying-I don't have the money so i can't have that item right now. I will either have to save for it or else if i need it right now, buy a cheaper brand of something similar or a second hand one.

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Decline in sales not just eBay


@dazzledayz wrote:

 

 

So, to conclude, how the hell do we legislate for the above morality in Free Market Capitalism?

 

Maybe Digi is on the money with a UBI?

 

Maybe the Nordic countries are on the money by just being ethical?

 

 

 

 

 

 


I'm actually not entirely convinced UBI is the answer, at least not without first addressing / mitigating some other issues first - such as housing / rent costs (we all know what happens when the governement says stuff like 'hey, we'll grant you $X so you can afford Y" - the people who sell Y go "great! now you can afford to pay $Z + $X!").

 

Spoiler
Just on that topic, and to tie in with chameleon's post as well, I was on a Centrelink payment some years back, and it included rent assistance. I recall receiving a letter from them  a couple of times that said "due to an increase in the cost of living, the amount of rent you must pay before you qualify for rent assistance has increased" - in a nutshell, they were letters advising me of a decrease in rent assistance (and therefore overall payment amount), because the cost of living increased. If that isn't a perfect example of Australian bureaucratic logic, I dunno what is. Smiley LOL Smiley LOL

 

But, at the same time, part of the reason the idea is gaining traction is because of the rapid decline of job availability (increasing population, working longer until retirement, and the big one, automation), so a UBI would guarantee (at least somewhat) the stability of society if we reach a point where work isn't actually an option for some people, and it would at least keep capitalism limping along in such a society if we can't think of anything better, because everyone (no matter what) would essentially become consumers, passive or otherwise. 

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Decline in sales not just eBay


@davewil1964 wrote:

Benjamin Disraeli coined the phrase, and Sam Clemens attributed it to him.


Unlikely Dave, the phrase is not found in any of Disraeli's works and the earliest known appearances were years after his death.

 

Twain attributes it to Disraeli but there is nothing to back that up.

 

The earliest attribution I could find was from Sir Charles Wentworth Dilke (1843โ€“1911) and he gave no attribution in the parliamentary speach in which the quote was used in the form "Fibs, Lies and Statistics".

 

It has also been attributed to the 1st Duke of Wellington (amongst others).

 

The quote is possibly a corruption of a legal saying from the 19th century about three types of unreliable witnesses; the liar, the damned liar, and the expert.

 

It will likely have to remain a wonderfully apocryphal quote by the renowned Greek scholar Anonimus Smiley Wink.

 

 

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Decline in sales not just eBay


@chameleon54 wrote:

 

The big thing that Labor could and should do is review payments for those on social security as they are woefully inadequate at the moment., Unfortunately they appear to be no more compassionate than the Liberals in this regard and haven't made a peep about increasing these payments. Should this necessary change be made, all of the money would flow straight back into the economy as retirees and the unemployed spend their money on basics rather than hoarding it ( investing ) as wealthier people do. This social security increase provides an immediate and long term stimulatory effect to the economy.

 


Actually, it's part of the Labor platform to run an inquiry into Newstart payments if elected.

 

I know that's not a promise to up rates, but there is considerable pressure coming from all sides, including the ACTU and ACOSS as well as, believe it or not, the BCA (Busines Council) and Johnny Howard!

 

It would be a great idea as trickle up is a lot more effective than the inverse.

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Decline in sales not just eBay


@digital*ghost wrote:

@dazzledayz wrote:

 

 

So, to conclude, how the hell do we legislate for the above morality in Free Market Capitalism?

 

Maybe Digi is on the money with a UBI?

 

Maybe the Nordic countries are on the money by just being ethical?

 

 

 

 

 

 


I'm actually not entirely convinced UBI is the answer, at least not without first addressing / mitigating some other issues first - such as housing / rent costs (we all know what happens when the governement says stuff like 'hey, we'll grant you $X so you can afford Y" - the people who sell Y go "great! now you can afford to pay $Z + $X!").

 

Spoiler
Just on that topic, and to tie in with chameleon's post as well, I was on a Centrelink payment some years back, and it included rent assistance. I recall receiving a letter from them  a couple of times that said "due to an increase in the cost of living, the amount of rent you must pay before you qualify for rent assistance has increased" - in a nutshell, they were letters advising me of a decrease in rent assistance (and therefore overall payment amount), because the cost of living increased. If that isn't a perfect example of Australian bureaucratic logic, I dunno what is. Smiley LOL Smiley LOL

 

But, at the same time, part of the reason the idea is gaining traction is because of the rapid decline of job availability (increasing population, working longer until retirement, and the big one, automation), so a UBI would guarantee (at least somewhat) the stability of society if we reach a point where work isn't actually an option for some people, and it would at least keep capitalism limping along in such a society if we can't think of anything better, because everyone (no matter what) would essentially become consumers, passive or otherwise. 


I shudder at that bureaucratese Digi; it could be straight out of Joseph Heller or Franz Kafka!

 

The idea of a UBI is being played with in a few places abroad and, as you point out, may be necessary in the face of rapidly advancing automation in the workplace.

If workers are all mostly lowly paid casuals or giggers there's a need to sustain the overall economy growthwise.

 

There is a place for govt to step in and moderate the system somehow as the Corporates just will not do it themselves.

They'll suffer too if the market for their goods and services shrinks to the point where products become unaffordable but by the time that becomes apparent to them it may well be too late.

 

Power producers are already seeing the trend towards solar impacting their profitability and that is largely due to the way they've rorted the system themselves.

Anyone able to is doing all they can to cut their power bills or go totally off grid.

 

New car sales are in rapid decline and the housing bubble seems to be contracting steadily.

 

Supermarkets are at war with their suppliers.

 

As Chameleon's post points out, the repo game is about the only one going gangbusters ATM.

 

I do see that the Nordic countries appear to be toddling along reasonably well and have been for quite some time.

 

They take a quite different view of economic management and tend to be high taxing but do offer very generous social benefits.

 

They also take a very different view to resources income management.

 

I don't believe we can tax-cut our way out of economic strife, much as Scomo and his mates would like us to think so.

 

Until the benefits of GDP are much more evenly shared we'll always be wobbling along on the brink.

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Decline in sales not just eBay


@dazzledayz wrote:

@chameleon54 wrote:

 

The big thing that Labor could and should do is review payments for those on social security as they are woefully inadequate at the moment., Unfortunately they appear to be no more compassionate than the Liberals in this regard and haven't made a peep about increasing these payments. Should this necessary change be made, all of the money would flow straight back into the economy as retirees and the unemployed spend their money on basics rather than hoarding it ( investing ) as wealthier people do. This social security increase provides an immediate and long term stimulatory effect to the economy.

 


Actually, it's part of the Labor platform to run an inquiry into Newstart payments if elected.

 

I know that's not a promise to up rates, but there is considerable pressure coming from all sides, including the ACTU and ACOSS as well as, believe it or not, the BCA (Busines Council) and Johnny Howard!

 

It would be a great idea as trickle up is a lot more effective than the inverse.


I have been accused many times on the forums of supporting Liberal party philosophy and while that is not entirely correct I,m happy to admit I probably lean to the right side of politics on many issues. That includes getting as many people as possible into the work force and supporting themselves and society when possible.

 

BUT, things have just got totally out of control as far as Centrelink and social security payments is concerned. There are not enough unskilled and semi skilled jobs to go around and yet we place draconian compliance restrictions on genuinely unemployed. The rates of payments to retirees, unemployed and those with genuine disabilities is so far below the poverty line that living even the most basic existence when paying rent is almost impossible. And heaven help anyone who wants to actually contact Centrelink to discuss a problem with their account. The way we are treating people on social security payments is an embarrassment in a wealthy country like Australia.

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Decline in sales not just eBay

ZERO Pulse D E A D! no sales for 14 days the worst non-sales period ever for us...useless customer support..a nightmare...

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Decline in sales not just eBay

Why would customer support be able to help you find customers?

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