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@chameleon54 wrote:532 new COVID cases in Victoria recorded yesterday, the highest number of recorded cases so far. Victorian premier states the virus is deeply imbedded in the Victorian community now. Things are getting worse instead of better............
I read that yesterday was predicted ahead of time to be around the date they expected numbers to peak.
I think, myself, any number under 500 is doing well and realistically, we can expect 1 or 2 deaths per hundred infected, though the deaths don't seem to be immediate, they take about a fortnight to die. So in a couple of weeks, we are likely to have a day when deaths are somewhere between 10 and 20.
Meanwhile, I don't think we will really know if we have turned a corner for another week or so but it is likely to be a gradual process as we went up in numbers so quickly, it will take a while to get transmissions right down.
I've said it before but it is worth repeating. Main problem isn't so much testing, it is getting results of tests to people a LOT faster. If you have a family tested (as happened to my daughter & family) then having to wait 6 days at home is too long. I'm not saying 2 weeks in iso is too long for those who test positive. Just that 6 days in iso is too long for those who are well with no symptoms. It is asking for trouble & they are getting something like 90% plus of that cohort of people breaking their quarantine, popping out to the shops etc. It needs to be a 2 day turn around
